TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Bartlomiej Wisniewski vs Adrian Eliasz 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesOSP 2 · Czestochowa
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118511119511117
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:24 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdrian Eliasz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
89 points played in total.
Set by set
118511119511117
H2H Bartlomiej Wisniewski 14–9 Adrian Eliasz Adrian Eliasz has won 9 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:2454.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.83
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.83 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (51%)
Eliasz
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
14-9 in 23
Wisniewski
Correct
gap of 5 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wisniewski 1232 vs Eliasz 1336
Eliasz
Wrong
both rated, 104 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wisniewski 40% vs Eliasz 80%
Eliasz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wisniewski 30% vs Eliasz 50%
Eliasz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wisniewski -3 · Eliasz +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Eliasz) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Eliasz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWisniewski 1.87 / Eliasz 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Eliasz)-0.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13274288
Wisniewski1.87
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 161 of 441
Down 0–1, comes back16% 42 of 260
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 143
Eliasz1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 10)
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 61 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it70% 39 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWisniewski6wins
AwayEliasz4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderWisniewski leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWisniewski85.7%6 of 7
AwayEliasz100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wisniewski7Eliasz3n = 10Wisniewski took 7 of 10
S2Wisniewski6Eliasz4n = 10Wisniewski took 6 of 10
S3Wisniewski4Eliasz6n = 10Eliasz took 6 of 10
S4Wisniewski4Eliasz4n = 8split evenly
S5Wisniewski2Eliasz1n = 3Wisniewski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWisniewskiEliaszW − EBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.440.5+0.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWisniewskiEliaszBasisWin rate · lifetime870 / 1851 vs 362 / 92247%39.3%870 / 1851 vs 362 / 922Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
EliaszWisniewski 1.87/Eliasz 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Eliasz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Wisniewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 4 · 13:05B. Wisniewski37691391A. Eliasz44111111113
LOct 4 · 06:05B. Wisniewski33681181A. Eliasz4011117113
WSep 20 · 14:40B. Wisniewski4614128123A. Eliasz43121011101
LSep 13 · 13:05B. Wisniewski367111261A. Eliasz4411814113
WSep 13 · 04:55B. Wisniewski361114113A. Eliasz2771280
WSep 10 · 19:40B. Wisniewski361411113A. Eliasz2412750
WAug 30 · 12:40B. Wisniewski521111811113A. Eliasz4881311882
WAug 30 · 08:35B. Wisniewski43111110113A. Eliasz37791291
WAug 3 · 20:05B. Wisniewski51118912113A. Eliasz48911111072
LJul 27 · 20:05B. Wisniewski4411116792A. Eliasz50891111113
B. Wisniewski10
LOct 11 · 04:10M. Sinicki1.58141177143B. Wisniewski2.261261111122LOct 10 · 07:40D. Wrobel1.5211711143B. Wisniewski2.376119121LOct 10 · 06:55J. Przewlocki1.7011114113B. Wisniewski1.91781161LOct 10 · 06:05B. Wisniewski1.8091191192J. Rolak1.91119115113WOct 10 · 04:30B. Wisniewski1.9511114113A. Szoltysek1.77791191WOct 10 · 03:50W. Iwasyszyn1.8588110B. Wisniewski1.851111133LOct 9 · 07:40B. Wisniewski1.717113101D. Wrobel2.0011511123LOct 9 · 06:30B. Wisniewski2.40138741F. Krcil1.50111111113LOct 9 · 05:15B. Wisniewski1.7011611962K. Klocek2.00611811113WOct 9 · 04:10K. Sulkowski1.8586100B. Wisniewski1.801111123
A. Eliasz10
WOct 10 · 00:10A. Eliasz2.0011511133M. Skorski1.719115111WOct 9 · 23:20A. Eliasz1.71411511113D. Poloszczanski2.0011611742WOct 9 · 21:55A. Eliasz1.951111113B. Warpas1.758780LOct 9 · 21:30A. Eliasz1.8581090M. Lukaszewski1.851112113WOct 9 · 20:30D. Poloszczanski2.00811771A. Eliasz1.7111611113WOct 9 · 19:20A. Eliasz1.75611118113M. Skorski1.9511561182LOct 9 · 18:10P. Strus1.88133811113A. Eliasz1.83111111592LOct 9 · 16:55M. Lukaszewski2.00416411113A. Eliasz1.72111411882LOct 9 · 15:25B. Warpas1.83111111113A. Eliasz1.83861381LOct 4 · 13:55A. Szoltysek1.9013114113A. Eliasz1.801191181
Upcoming Matches
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A. Eliasz
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