TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Tadeusz Piotrowski vs Jakub Lamperski 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesHSC 2 · Czestochowa
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511119711911––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:47 and never touched: 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeJakub Lamperski to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
511119711911––
H2H Tadeusz Piotrowski 0–1 Jakub Lamperski Tadeusz Piotrowski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 20h before this match
Lamperski beat Piotrowski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:4758.7%Our read62.1%to break even at 1.61
short by 3.4pp62.1% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.61 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Lamperski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Piotrowski 1377 vs Lamperski 1459
Lamperski
Correct
both rated, 82 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Piotrowski 20% vs Lamperski 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Piotrowski 30% vs Lamperski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Piotrowski -2 · Lamperski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Lamperski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lamperski form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPiotrowski 2.20 / Lamperski 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Lamperski)-3.4pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13277756
Piotrowski2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog27% won 26 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back17% 11 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 42
Lamperski1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite82% won 36 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePiotrowski0wins
AwayLamperski1wins
Lamperski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPiotrowskiLamperskiP − LBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match32.042.0−10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPiotrowskiLamperskiBasisWin rate · lifetime553 / 886 vs 45 / 7062.4%64.3%553 / 886 vs 45 / 70Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LamperskiPiotrowski 2.20/Lamperski 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Lamperski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lamperski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LOct 10 · 09:20T. Piotrowski32391191J. Lamperski4211119113
T. Piotrowski10
LOct 11 · 03:40T. Piotrowski2.20101114892M. Minda1.611281211113LOct 10 · 14:35T. Filbrandt1.2691111113T. Piotrowski3.50118541WOct 10 · 13:25T. Piotrowski1.901151011113K. Kostyk1.8091112982LOct 10 · 12:10B. Mleczko1.731111113T. Piotrowski2.009570LOct 10 · 10:55M. Minda1.8611212113T. Piotrowski1.8411101081LOct 10 · 09:20J. Lamperski1.7211119113T. Piotrowski2.00391191WOct 10 · 07:40J. Zochniak1.33119931T. Piotrowski3.1091111113WOct 10 · 06:50I. Dabrowski2.065880T. Piotrowski1.601111113LOct 10 · 06:00T. Piotrowski2.105920B. Mleczko1.651111113LOct 10 · 04:25T. Piotrowski1.8581111672K. Kostyk1.86116711113
J. Lamperski10
WOct 11 · 03:20K. Klocek2.5010060J. Lamperski1.451211113LOct 10 · 13:50J. Lamperski1.8011514592B. Mleczko1.807111211113LOct 10 · 12:35J. Lamperski1.83118991M. Minda1.8351111113LOct 10 · 11:20J. Lamperski1.7796130K. Kostyk1.931111153LOct 10 · 10:05T. Filbrandt1.461111113J. Lamperski2.509860WOct 10 · 09:20J. Lamperski1.7211119113T. Piotrowski2.00391191LOct 9 · 08:35K. Sulkowski1.521411118113J. Lamperski2.3816981192LOct 9 · 07:20J. Lamperski1.461111121072K. Klocek2.55621412113WOct 9 · 06:05D. Wrobel3.403930J. Lamperski1.281111113WOct 9 · 04:55F. Krcil2.2012450J. Lamperski1.601411113
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