TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Maksym Hubenko vs Andrii Lushchyk 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119711117711117
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:57 and never touched: 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeAndrii Lushchyk to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaksym Hubenko above · Andrii Lushchyk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 92 set 5, 11-7 · our read held Andrii Lushchyk at 62.1%
92 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Hubenko 32–47 Andrii Lushchyk Maksym Hubenko has won 32 of their 79 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:5762.1%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 1.6pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Lushchyk
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
32-47 in 79
Lushchyk
Wrong
gap of 15 in 79, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hubenko 1613 vs Lushchyk 1747
Lushchyk
Wrong
both rated, 134 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hubenko 40% vs Lushchyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hubenko 50% vs Lushchyk 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hubenko -2 · Lushchyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Clear lean (leans Lushchyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lushchyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubenko 2.25 / Lushchyk 1.571
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Lushchyk)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13276495
Hubenko2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog26% won 36 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back17% 14 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 50
Lushchyk1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 108 of 162
Up 2–0, closes it97% 60 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it83% 80 of 97
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHubenko8wins
AwayLushchyk2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHubenko87.5%7 of 8
AwayLushchykn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hubenko8Lushchyk2n = 10Hubenko took 8 of 10
S2Hubenko6Lushchyk4n = 10Hubenko took 6 of 10
S3Hubenko6Lushchyk4n = 10Hubenko took 6 of 10
S4Hubenko3Lushchyk3n = 6split evenly
S5Hubenko3Lushchyk1n = 4Hubenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHubenkoLushchykH − LBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.938.0+2.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubenkoLushchykBasisWin rate · lifetime583 / 1067 vs 375 / 80354.6%46.7%583 / 1067 vs 375 / 803Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LushchykHubenko 2.25/Lushchyk 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.1%
Lushchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 11 · 06:00M. Hubenko47117117113A. Lushchyk4591171172
WSep 27 · 07:30M. Hubenko401211173A. Lushchyk34109150
WSep 22 · 15:00M. Hubenko331111113A. Lushchyk228950
LSep 22 · 14:00M. Hubenko2110470A. Lushchyk341211113
WSep 10 · 17:29M. Hubenko4613163143A. Lushchyk48111411121
WSep 10 · 13:00M. Hubenko50111189113A. Lushchyk3784111132
WAug 30 · 16:00M. Hubenko581512118123A. Lushchyk551314711102
LAug 9 · 09:30M. Hubenko3511231182A. Lushchyk44711114113
WAug 2 · 14:00M. Hubenko45121111113A. Lushchyk33147481
WJul 31 · 08:00M. Hubenko341211113A. Lushchyk2810990
M. Hubenko10
LOct 11 · 06:30S. Aristarkhov1.831011115113M. Hubenko1.8312781172LOct 11 · 05:00M. Hubenko3.0041070A. Kasyanov1.361112113LOct 9 · 11:30S. Miroshnychenko3.75111011123M. Hubenko1.258129101WOct 9 · 10:00M. Hubenko1.33111115113O. Lyman3.25981761WOct 9 · 08:00O. Syksa2.7511691162M. Hubenko1.40411119113LOct 9 · 06:00O. Ziakun3.251211511113M. Hubenko1.3314811872LOct 9 · 05:00O. Kurylenko2.7512811123M. Hubenko1.4010111101WOct 8 · 11:30D. Kuzmenko3.001175101M. Hubenko1.3691111123LOct 8 · 10:00M. Hubenko1.5011118972O. Syksa2.50961111113WOct 8 · 08:00O. Lyman3.4091161172M. Hubenko1.30114119113
A. Lushchyk10
LOct 11 · 07:00A. Kasyanov1.57111011113A. Lushchyk2.25812961WOct 11 · 04:30S. Aristarkhov2.507690A. Lushchyk1.501111113LOct 8 · 16:58A. Lushchyk3.7512611692R. Ivanov1.251011311113LOct 8 · 15:30M. Baday1.22111110113A. Lushchyk4.00381271WOct 8 · 14:30A. Lushchyk1.731111123S. Chuhai2.0056100LOct 8 · 13:30R. Ivanov1.2512115113A. Lushchyk3.751081141LOct 8 · 12:30A. Lushchyk2.6387130I. Fedoryshyn1.441111153WOct 6 · 16:58A. Lushchyk1.33111111113S. Chuhai3.25513691WOct 6 · 16:00A. Lushchyk2.381211113A. Kasyanov1.5310780WOct 6 · 15:00S. Chuhai2.101456101A. Lushchyk1.67121111123
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.