TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Levytskyi vs Anatoliy Lysyi 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
61112101111210119
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:28 and never touched: 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Levytskyi to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Levytskyi above · Anatoliy Lysyi below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 1-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 93 set 5, 11-9 · our read held Oleksandr Levytskyi at 55.7%
93 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Levytskyi 15–10 Anatoliy Lysyi Anatoliy Lysyi has won 10 of their 25 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:2855.7%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 6.2pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Levytskyi
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
15-10 in 25
Levytskyi
Correct
gap of 5 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levytskyi 1190 vs Lysyi 1207
Lysyi
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levytskyi 20% vs Lysyi 60%
Lysyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levytskyi 20% vs Lysyi 50%
Lysyi
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Levytskyi +1 · Lysyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Levytskyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevytskyi 1.615 / Lysyi 2.20
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Levytskyi)-6.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13276472
Levytskyi1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 26 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it100% 14 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it85% 22 of 26
Lysyi2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 42 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back15% 10 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLevytskyi5wins
AwayLysyi5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevytskyi57.1%4 of 7
AwayLysyi66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levytskyi7Lysyi3n = 10Levytskyi took 7 of 10
S2Levytskyi5Lysyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Levytskyi5Lysyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Levytskyi3Lysyi4n = 7Lysyi took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLevytskyiLysyiLevytskyi − LysyiBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.135.2+2.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevytskyiLysyiBasisWin rate · lifetime127 / 299 vs 196 / 42542.5%46.1%127 / 299 vs 196 / 425Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.135.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LevytskyiLevytskyi 1.61/Lysyi 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.7%
Levytskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Levytskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LOct 10 · 16:00O. Levytskyi42118111022A. Lysyi44711312113
WAug 29 · 17:03O. Levytskyi331111113A. Lysyi163580
WAug 29 · 12:30O. Levytskyi4111118113A. Lysyi38991191
WApr 25 · 07:30O. Levytskyi331111113A. Lysyi215970
WApr 18 · 16:58O. Levytskyi3611113113A. Lysyi30681151
LApr 18 · 13:30O. Levytskyi33124981A. Lysyi43101111113
WMar 21 · 13:30O. Levytskyi48781111113A. Lysyi4111117572
LDec 15 · 18:00O. Levytskyi4411161071A. Lysyi5091812113
LDec 15 · 16:30O. Levytskyi33911671A. Lysyi3411111113
O. Levytskyi10
WOct 11 · 07:00O. Levytskyi2.50661111113I. Sorochan1.5011117792LOct 11 · 06:00O. Levytskyi1.4411961172V. Matviichuk2.63511115113LOct 10 · 16:00A. Lysyi2.38711312113O. Levytskyi1.53118111022LOct 10 · 14:30I. Sorochan1.5731111113O. Levytskyi2.25116691LOct 10 · 13:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.401111103O. Levytskyi2.759680LOct 10 · 12:00A. Danylov2.63111173O. Levytskyi1.448760LOct 4 · 17:09O. Levytskyi1.91117101142I. Sorochan1.80711128113WOct 4 · 16:00I. Sorochan1.739980O. Levytskyi2.001111113LOct 4 · 14:30A. Lysyi3.001112463O. Levytskyi1.368101151LOct 4 · 13:00V. Kurliuk1.4412116113O. Levytskyi2.631081191
A. Lysyi10
LOct 11 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.671111771V. Matviichuk2.1013811113LOct 11 · 06:30S. Honcharenko1.405151110113A. Lysyi2.75111321242WOct 11 · 05:30A. Lysyi3.2511811113I. Sorochan1.33811541WOct 10 · 16:59A. Lysyi3.7511311113I. Sorochan1.25611491WOct 10 · 16:00A. Lysyi2.38711312113O. Levytskyi1.53118111022WOct 10 · 15:00A. Danylov2.506840A. Lysyi1.501111113LOct 10 · 14:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.331171183A. Lysyi3.25911761LOct 10 · 12:30I. Sorochan1.301111113A. Lysyi3.409870WOct 5 · 10:03M. Zavoloka1.331171111112A. Lysyi3.25811135133WOct 4 · 14:30A. Lysyi3.001112463O. Levytskyi1.368101151
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