TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Anatoliy Lysyi vs Ihor Sorochan 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116311114119––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingAnatoliy Lysyi above · Ihor Sorochan below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 66 set 4, 11-9
66 points played in total.
H2H Anatoliy Lysyi 14–40 Ihor Sorochan Anatoliy Lysyi has won 14 of their 54 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Sorochan beat Lysyi 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sorochan form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysyi 3.75 / Sorochan 1.25
Setka Cup · #13275625
Lysyi3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 40 of 113
Down 0–1, comes back15% 9 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 37
Sorochan1.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 58 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it83% 48 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLysyi2wins
AwaySorochan8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSorochan leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysyi20%1 of 5
AwaySorochan80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysyi5Sorochan5n = 10split evenly
S2Lysyi3Sorochan7n = 10Sorochan took 7 of 10
S3Lysyi2Sorochan8n = 10Sorochan took 8 of 10
S4Lysyi3Sorochan4n = 7Sorochan took 4 of 7
S5Lysyi1Sorochan3n = 4Sorochan took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLysyiSorochanL − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.640.0−6.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysyiSorochanBasisWin rate · lifetime194 / 421 vs 229 / 41846.1%54.8%194 / 421 vs 229 / 418Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.736.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SorochanLysyi 3.75/Sorochan 1.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–1
Lysyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 10 · 12:30A. Lysyi249870I. Sorochan331111113
LOct 4 · 12:30A. Lysyi202990I. Sorochan331111113
WSep 21 · 10:35A. Lysyi4011117113I. Sorochan27571141
LSep 21 · 05:00A. Lysyi4211116862I. Sorochan48691111113
LSep 5 · 12:30A. Lysyi217860I. Sorochan331111113
LAug 9 · 12:30A. Lysyi29371181I. Sorochan3811115113
LJun 1 · 07:30A. Lysyi3811461162I. Sorochan51911119113
LMay 23 · 10:01A. Lysyi4111511592I. Sorochan49711911113
LMay 23 · 08:30A. Lysyi351191051I. Sorochan4171112113
WMay 18 · 07:30A. Lysyi46611611123I. Sorochan47119116102
A. Lysyi10
WOct 10 · 16:00A. Lysyi2.38711312113O. Levytskyi1.53118111022WOct 10 · 15:00A. Danylov2.506840A. Lysyi1.501111113LOct 10 · 14:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.331171183A. Lysyi3.25911761LOct 10 · 12:30I. Sorochan1.301111113A. Lysyi3.409870WOct 5 · 10:03M. Zavoloka1.331171111112A. Lysyi3.25811135133LOct 5 · 08:30S. Honcharenko1.361191110113A. Lysyi3.0061121272LOct 5 · 07:30A. Lysyi2.638890M. Zavoloka1.441111113WOct 5 · 06:30O. Badanin1.801211341A. Lysyi1.9114911113WOct 5 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.22121111123V. Hyriavyi4.001489101LOct 4 · 15:30V. Kurliuk1.2011114123A. Lysyi4.337511101
I. Sorochan10
LOct 10 · 15:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.57171111203I. Sorochan2.251963181WOct 10 · 14:30I. Sorochan1.5731111113O. Levytskyi2.25116691LOct 10 · 13:30A. Danylov4.3341171193I. Sorochan1.2011811572WOct 10 · 12:30I. Sorochan1.301111113A. Lysyi3.409870WOct 4 · 17:09O. Levytskyi1.91117101142I. Sorochan1.80711128113LOct 4 · 16:00I. Sorochan1.739980O. Levytskyi2.001111113LOct 4 · 15:00V. Simchuk1.44111211113I. Sorochan2.63514771LOct 4 · 14:00V. Kurliuk3.401111113I. Sorochan1.308940WOct 4 · 12:30A. Lysyi3.402990I. Sorochan1.301111113LSep 28 · 15:30I. Dubinin1.6711811113I. Sorochan2.10911981
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