TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Piotr Odelski vs Krzysztof Zapala 2-3 · TT Cup
TT CupPoland 2 · Kielce
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11513111214611911
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:33 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Odelski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
103 points played in total.
Set by set
11513111214611911
H2H Piotr Odelski 3–4 Krzysztof Zapala Piotr Odelski has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:3354.0%Our read62.5%to break even at 1.60
short by 8.5pp62.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.60 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Odelski
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Odelski 1586 vs Zapala 1625
Zapala
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Odelski 40% vs Zapala 60%
Zapala
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Odelski 40% vs Zapala 80%
Zapala
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Odelski -2 · Zapala -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Odelski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zapala form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOdelski 1.60 / Zapala 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Odelski)-8.5pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13275390
Odelski1.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 36 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it87% 27 of 31
Zapala2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 80 of 215
Down 0–1, comes back25% 27 of 109
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeOdelski3wins
AwayZapala4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderZapala leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOdelski66.7%2 of 3
AwayZapala75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Odelski3Zapala4n = 7Zapala took 4 of 7
S2Odelski4Zapala3n = 7Odelski took 4 of 7
S3Odelski3Zapala4n = 7Zapala took 4 of 7
S4Odelski2Zapala2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricOdelskiZapalaO − ZBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match40.137.6+2.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOdelskiZapalaBasisWin rate · lifetime66 / 114 vs 355 / 78557.9%45.2%66 / 114 vs 355 / 785Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
OdelskiOdelski 1.60/Zapala 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Odelski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zapala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WOct 1 · 20:30P. Odelski421813113K. Zapala35161180
LSep 25 · 17:30P. Odelski4781181192K. Zapala47115119113
WSep 18 · 16:00P. Odelski521011911113K. Zapala4312811662
LSep 17 · 16:00P. Odelski421199131K. Zapala4361111153
LSep 16 · 16:00P. Odelski4110911111K. Zapala4012114133
LSep 11 · 16:30P. Odelski248970K. Zapala331111113
WSep 10 · 16:00P. Odelski331111113K. Zapala228860
P. Odelski10
LOct 10 · 15:35P. Odelski2.101011101232A. Duch1.601241210113LOct 8 · 21:40A. Veliiev—1113113P. Odelski—71180WOct 8 · 20:00P. Odelski2.00981212113D. Bucko1.711111101062WOct 8 · 18:30P. Odelski1.9111118113A. Duch1.80681181LOct 8 · 17:00P. Odelski1.861181171L. Buklat1.8361113113LOct 8 · 15:00P. Odelski1.547690B. Gola2.251111113LOct 8 · 14:00P. Odelski2.051181191A. Veliiev1.7013113113WOct 3 · 22:35K. Guzy—5560P. Odelski—1111113LOct 3 · 21:35P. Odelski1.498590P. Kos2.451111113WOct 3 · 19:35D. Bucko2.009111161P. Odelski1.7211138113
K. Zapala10
LOct 10 · 17:05K. Zapala1.9191690D. Bucko1.801118113WOct 9 · 22:40A. Duch1.411119612132K. Zapala2.756171114153WOct 9 · 20:30K. Zapala—18119113A. Veliiev—1651191LOct 9 · 18:30A. Duch1.42111110123K. Zapala2.656912101WOct 9 · 17:30K. Zapala1.601113113B. Gola2.2031130WOct 9 · 16:30K. Guzy1.53118211102K. Zapala2.35411119123WOct 9 · 16:00K. Zapala—1011711173L. Buklat—128116152WOct 4 · 14:45M. Szymanski1.557790K. Zapala2.301111113WOct 4 · 12:05A. Veliiev2.52121114782K. Zapala1.471081611113WOct 4 · 11:05K. Zapala2.051111113D. Bucko1.685880
Upcoming Matches
P. Odelski
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K. Zapala
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