TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Igor Dabrowski vs Kamil Klocek 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesHSC 2 · Czestochowa
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
311911119118118
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:33 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIgor Dabrowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
311911119118118
H2H Igor Dabrowski 1–6 Kamil Klocek Igor Dabrowski has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:3354.0%Our read58.5%to break even at 1.71
short by 4.5pp58.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.71 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Dabrowski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-6 in 7
Klocek
Wrong
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dabrowski 1411 vs Klocek 1349
Dabrowski
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dabrowski 60% vs Klocek 40%
Dabrowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dabrowski 50% vs Klocek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dabrowski -1 · Klocek -3
Klocek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Dabrowski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDabrowski 1.71 / Klocek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dabrowski)-4.5pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13273008
Dabrowski1.71
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 163 of 262
Up 2–0, closes it97% 73 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it74% 122 of 164
Klocek2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 101 of 261
Down 0–1, comes back20% 31 of 159
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeDabrowski1wins
AwayKlocek6wins
2 of 7 to a deciderKlocek leads 6–1, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDabrowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKlocek100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dabrowski2Klocek5n = 7Klocek took 5 of 7
S2Dabrowski3Klocek4n = 7Klocek took 4 of 7
S3Dabrowski3Klocek4n = 7Klocek took 4 of 7
S4Dabrowski0Klocek3n = 3Klocek took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away343%
These 7 meetings
MetricDabrowskiKlocekD − KBasisWins16−5in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match30.735.7−5.0per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDabrowskiKlocekBasisWin rate · lifetime772 / 1535 vs 493 / 94650.3%52.1%772 / 1535 vs 493 / 946Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DabrowskiDabrowski 1.71/Klocek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dabrowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dabrowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 26 · 06:05I. Dabrowski176560K. Klocek331111113
LAug 6 · 04:55I. Dabrowski306101131K. Klocek4111127113
LJul 31 · 04:30I. Dabrowski176470K. Klocek331111113
LJul 28 · 08:35I. Dabrowski4681111792K. Klocek42115411113
WJul 23 · 11:50I. Dabrowski341211113K. Klocek2010730
LApr 3 · 09:45I. Dabrowski47111112762K. Klocek47291411113
LApr 2 · 12:35I. Dabrowski2477100K. Klocek341111123
I. Dabrowski10
LOct 10 · 04:00I. Dabrowski3.601158111J. Zochniak1.2671111133WOct 10 · 03:00I. Dabrowski1.901211123K. Kostyk1.75106100LOct 3 · 13:45I. Dabrowski2.253820B. Mleczko1.571111113WOct 3 · 12:30I. Dabrowski1.73111111113A. Myszewski2.00581391WOct 3 · 11:15I. Dabrowski2.38111210113A. Linek1.539101281LOct 3 · 10:00M. Marchlewski1.25812611113I. Dabrowski3.75111011672WOct 3 · 09:20I. Dabrowski2.10119116113M. Misiak1.6781161192LOct 3 · 08:30I. Dabrowski2.1061151132B. Mleczko1.67117119113LOct 3 · 06:55I. Dabrowski3.75114561M. Marchlewski1.2581111113WOct 3 · 05:40I. Dabrowski1.91611911113M. Misiak1.8011611762
K. Klocek10
LOct 10 · 04:50K. Klocek2.4068111172B. Mleczko1.50111155113LOct 10 · 03:40K. Klocek1.9911112922T. Piotrowski1.74771111113LOct 9 · 08:10F. Krcil1.85111178113K. Klocek1.8099111152WOct 9 · 07:20J. Lamperski1.461111121072K. Klocek2.55621412113WOct 9 · 05:15B. Wisniewski1.7011611962K. Klocek2.00611811113LOct 9 · 04:30D. Wrobel1.85116511113K. Klocek1.8671111772WOct 9 · 03:00K. Sulkowski2.25118291K. Klocek1.5451111113LOct 8 · 14:20K. Klocek2.604760B. Sulkowski1.411111113WOct 8 · 12:40D. Solilo1.7710850K. Klocek1.951211113LOct 8 · 11:50B. Czerwinski1.361111113K. Klocek2.858570
Upcoming Matches
I. Dabrowski
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K. Klocek
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