TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vitalii Kobets vs Oleksandr Melashenko · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Starts Oct 11, 00:35Scheduled
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Head to head
3 – 13
All 16 meetings · 18.8%
Last 10 · 3–7Same side
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Price verdict
No edgeThe price already says it
Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.
Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.
Round robin · match 8 of 15
0 of 15 playedGroup 8 of 14 on the day's ladder
Round robin before this match
Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.
| # | Player | W–L | Sets | To play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| = | Maxim Marchuk | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
| = | Oleksandr Gomilko | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
| = | Oleksandr MelashenkoThis match | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
| = | Valentyn Lobas | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
| = | Vitalii KobetsThis match | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
| = | Yan Krol | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 |
Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKobets 2.10 / Melashenko 1.666
Setka Cup · #13270808
Kobets2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 09)
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 58 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back24% 20 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 49
Melashenko1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 09)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 86 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it97% 38 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it81% 56 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKobets3wins
AwayMelashenko7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMelashenko leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKobets50%2 of 4
AwayMelashenko83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kobets4Melashenko6n = 10Melashenko took 6 of 10
S2Kobets5Melashenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Kobets4Melashenko6n = 10Melashenko took 6 of 10
S4Kobets2Melashenko5n = 7Melashenko took 5 of 7
S5Kobets1Melashenko2n = 3Melashenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKobetsMelashenkoK − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.639.7−4.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKobetsMelashenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime422 / 819 vs 432 / 86251.5%50.1%422 / 819 vs 432 / 862Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 3 · 23:35V. Kobets35991161O. Melashenko4211119113
LSep 26 · 22:05V. Kobets43111183102O. Melashenko51981111123
LSep 24 · 15:55V. Kobets238870O. Melashenko331111113
WSep 15 · 18:25V. Kobets4311117143O. Melashenko357511121
LSep 14 · 22:35V. Kobets52111511782O. Melashenko52717611113
WSep 9 · 18:25V. Kobets47811611113O. Melashenko4411711782
LSep 7 · 17:55V. Kobets1810530O. Melashenko341211113
LAug 31 · 14:25V. Kobets27471151O. Melashenko3911116113
LAug 3 · 13:55V. Kobets34811781O. Melashenko4011711113
WJul 22 · 23:35V. Kobets341211113O. Melashenko2710890
V. Kobets10
WOct 9 · 23:05V. Lobas1.44126671V. Kobets2.63101111113WOct 9 · 21:05Y. Krol1.448480V. Kobets2.631111113WOct 4 · 03:05V. Lobas1.361110351V. Kobets3.0051211113LOct 4 · 02:05V. Kobets2.75111111492Y. Krol1.40138411113LOct 4 · 01:05V. Kobets2.006690O. Gomilko1.731111113LOct 3 · 23:35V. Kobets2.10991161O. Melashenko1.6711119113LOct 3 · 21:35V. Kobets4.0091070K. Hrynenko1.221112113LSep 29 · 19:25D. Rehotun3.751191111113V. Kobets1.2513118562WSep 29 · 18:25V. Kobets1.4091111113M. Skliar2.75116381WSep 29 · 17:25V. Kobets1.671112113D. Us2.1081070
O. Melashenko10
WOct 9 · 21:35O. Melashenko1.531111113M. Marchuk2.389260LOct 9 · 03:55O. Naida2.0012116113O. Melashenko1.731061191WOct 9 · 02:55T. Ponomarenko1.406940O. Melashenko2.751111113WOct 9 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.25111113952O. Melashenko3.75841511113LOct 8 · 23:25K. Hrynenko1.73111177113O. Melashenko2.0075111142LOct 8 · 21:25R. Gnoevoy1.361111113O. Melashenko3.008310WOct 7 · 03:05O. Melashenko1.361111187113D. Rehotun3.0088201172WOct 7 · 01:35O. Melashenko1.36125811113Y. Stepanchuk3.00101111772LOct 7 · 00:05O. Melashenko1.4485111152S. Pitsyk2.63111145113WOct 3 · 23:35V. Kobets2.10991161O. Melashenko1.6711119113
Upcoming Matches
V. Kobets
O. Melashenko
Oct 9 · 23:35O. Melashenko2.10O. Gomilko1.67—Oct 10 · 01:05O. Melashenko1.67V. Kobets2.10—Oct 10 · 02:05O. Melashenko2.75V. Lobas1.40—Oct 10 · 03:05O. Melashenko3.50Y. Krol1.28—Oct 10 · 21:35O. Melashenko1.83O. Gomilko1.83—Oct 10 · 22:35O. Melashenko2.75V. Lobas1.40—Oct 11 · 02:35O. Melashenko1.50M. Marchuk2.50—Oct 11 · 04:05O. Melashenko4.00Y. Krol1.22—
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