TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Karel Polak vs Adam Dvoracek · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Starts Oct 10, 10:30Scheduled
8–2Last 10Won last 8
Head to head
4 – 10
All 14 meetings · 28.6%
Last 10 · 3–7Same side
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Price verdict
No edgeThe price already says it
Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.
Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.
Round robin · match 3 of 6
0 of 6 playedRound robin before this match
Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.
| # | Player | W–L | Sets | To play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| = | Adam DvoracekThis match | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3 |
| = | Josef Hanacek | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3 |
| = | Karel PolakThis match | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3 |
| = | Vojtech Kral | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3 |
Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolak 2.20 / Dvoracek 1.615
Setka Cup · #13270588
Polak2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 8
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog56% won 38 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back31% 8 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back17% 3 of 18
Dvoracek1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 09)
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 70 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it76% 50 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolak3wins
AwayDvoracek7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDvoracek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolak66.7%2 of 3
AwayDvoracek85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polak3Dvoracek7n = 10Dvoracek took 7 of 10
S2Polak6Dvoracek4n = 10Polak took 6 of 10
S3Polak4Dvoracek6n = 10Dvoracek took 6 of 10
S4Polak3Dvoracek3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolakDvoracekP − DBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.734.9+0.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolakDvoracekBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 351 vs 254 / 48450.1%52.5%176 / 351 vs 254 / 484Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LMay 2 · 14:30K. Polak4581111962A. Dvoracek41116211113
WApr 27 · 14:00K. Polak3911116113A. Dvoracek34951191
WMar 28 · 13:23K. Polak3961111113A. Dvoracek29118371
LMar 28 · 12:15K. Polak49118111182A. Dvoracek49811136113
LNov 15 · 13:23K. Polak32791151A. Dvoracek4211119113
WNov 15 · 12:15K. Polak331111113A. Dvoracek113530
LNov 5 · 19:30K. Polak25101050A. Dvoracek351212113
LOct 26 · 12:00K. Polak31611591A. Dvoracek3811511113
LOct 19 · 08:38K. Polak2881190A. Dvoracek351113113
K. Polak10
LOct 9 · 20:29K. Polak1.83118611112R. Slunecko1.83911116133WOct 9 · 19:30R. Slunecko2.0054111162K. Polak1.73111178113WOct 9 · 19:00K. Polak2.201111118113D. Sabuka1.6191361192WOct 9 · 18:00K. Polak1.57111312113M. Cmil2.256111481WOct 8 · 17:05K. Polak1.6771111113J. Mejzlik2.10118241WOct 8 · 16:00L. Tuma1.5711411472K. Polak2.25211511113WOct 8 · 15:00J. Mejzlik1.61911651K. Polak2.2011511113WOct 8 · 13:30E. Ondracek1.678560K. Polak2.101111113WSep 30 · 16:39M. Vorel1.8011911852K. Polak1.91411511113LSep 30 · 15:30K. Polak1.7365100J. Mejzlik2.001111123
A. Dvoracek10
WOct 9 · 09:03F. Husek1.5311711552A. Dvoracek2.38911611113WOct 9 · 07:30M. Snizek2.75114451A. Dvoracek1.4071111113WOct 9 · 07:00A. Dvoracek2.001111123J. Mejzlik1.7335100WOct 9 · 06:00A. Dvoracek2.001111113F. Husek1.737740LOct 6 · 13:10A. Dvoracek2.101261181M. Vana1.6714117113WOct 6 · 12:00A. Dvoracek2.5011118113O. Plyska1.50791191WOct 6 · 10:30M. Vana1.611112111392A. Dvoracek2.2013101311113WOct 6 · 10:00M. Melisek2.63113771A. Dvoracek1.4411111113LOct 2 · 08:44A. Dvoracek1.83361151F. Husek1.8311117113LOct 2 · 08:00A. Dvoracek2.63111177112O. Plyska1.44881111133
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