TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Roman Boklah vs Oleksandr Kolos 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115311911711––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:26 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRoman Boklah to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRoman Boklah above · Oleksandr Kolos below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 68 set 4, 7-11 · our read held Roman Boklah at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Roman Boklah 45–13 Oleksandr Kolos Oleksandr Kolos has won 13 of their 58 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:2654.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.9pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Boklah
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
45-13 in 58
Boklah
Wrong
gap of 32 in 58, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Boklah 1098 vs Kolos 1163
Kolos
Correct
both rated, 65 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boklah 60% vs Kolos 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boklah 60% vs Kolos 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Boklah +1 · Kolos -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Boklah) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoklah 1.727 / Kolos 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Boklah)-3.9pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13270401
Boklah1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 07)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 73 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it80% 48 of 60
Kolos2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 07)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 27 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back20% 7 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBoklah5wins
AwayKolos5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBoklah66.7%2 of 3
AwayKolos57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Boklah3Kolos7n = 10Kolos took 7 of 10
S2Boklah5Kolos5n = 10split evenly
S3Boklah5Kolos5n = 10split evenly
S4Boklah4Kolos4n = 8split evenly
S5Boklah3Kolos2n = 5Boklah took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBoklahKolosB − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.341.7−2.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoklahKolosBasisWin rate · lifetime261 / 624 vs 166 / 31141.8%53.4%261 / 624 vs 166 / 311Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BoklahBoklah 1.73/Kolos 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Boklah · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kolos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 7 · 17:13R. Boklah48511614123O. Kolos521181112102
LOct 7 · 16:00R. Boklah49117111282O. Kolos52811814113
LOct 5 · 17:48R. Boklah2451090O. Kolos341112113
WOct 5 · 12:00R. Boklah4211812113O. Kolos314111061
LOct 3 · 04:30R. Boklah165830O. Kolos331111113
LSep 30 · 17:28R. Boklah4278111152O. Kolos49111188113
WSep 30 · 12:00R. Boklah4471115113O. Kolos361181341
WSep 28 · 12:00R. Boklah451011112113O. Kolos4212961142
WSep 26 · 04:30R. Boklah49111197113O. Kolos4689111172
LSep 23 · 12:00R. Boklah344111271O. Kolos4211614113
R. Boklah10
LOct 10 · 06:00R. Boklah1.2851171152D. Aldayev3.50115117113WOct 7 · 17:13R. Boklah1.73511614123O. Kolos2.001181112102LOct 7 · 16:00O. Kolos2.10811814113R. Boklah1.67117111282LOct 7 · 14:30V. Klymenko2.20138811113R. Boklah1.61111111872WOct 7 · 13:00D. Aldayev4.0011881162R. Boklah1.22911117113WOct 7 · 12:00V. Ivnytskyi2.75111111762R. Boklah1.40139611113LOct 5 · 17:48O. Kolos2.501112113R. Boklah1.5051090LOct 5 · 16:30Y. Priadko2.6313101111113R. Boklah1.4415129972WOct 5 · 15:00R. Boklah1.255111011113D. Aldayev3.7511512552WOct 5 · 13:30R. Boklah1.6711811113V. Klymenko2.10511681
O. Kolos10
LOct 10 · 06:30V. Klymenko3.401118113O. Kolos1.3081680LOct 7 · 17:13R. Boklah1.73511614123O. Kolos2.001181112102WOct 7 · 16:00O. Kolos2.10811814113R. Boklah1.67117111282WOct 7 · 15:00V. Ivnytskyi3.75613371O. Kolos1.25111111113LOct 7 · 14:00D. Aldayev3.407111511113O. Kolos1.3011917852WOct 7 · 12:30V. Klymenko3.5091111792O. Kolos1.28117811113WOct 5 · 17:48O. Kolos2.501112113R. Boklah1.5051090WOct 5 · 16:00D. Aldayev3.4011921192O. Kolos1.30911118113WOct 5 · 14:30V. Klymenko3.0055110O. Kolos1.361111133WOct 5 · 13:00Y. Priadko2.004990O. Kolos1.731111113
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