TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Ivnytskyi vs Oleksandr Kolos 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111311311711––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:58 and never touched: 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolos to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Ivnytskyi above · Oleksandr Kolos below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 73 set 4, 7-11 · our read held Oleksandr Kolos at 79.4%
73 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Ivnytskyi 5–13 Oleksandr Kolos Volodymyr Ivnytskyi has won 5 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:5879.4%Our read80.0%to break even at 1.25
short by 0.6pp80.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.25 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Kolos
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-13 in 18
Kolos
Correct
gap of 8 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivnytskyi 989 vs Kolos 1162
Kolos
Correct
both rated, 173 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivnytskyi 20% vs Kolos 80%
Kolos
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivnytskyi 30% vs Kolos 70%
Kolos
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivnytskyi +1 · Kolos -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% · Strong (leans Kolos) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvnytskyi 3.75 / Kolos 1.25
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Kolos)-0.6pp
Setka Cup · #13255781
Ivnytskyi3.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 28 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back14% 7 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Kolos1.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite76% won 65 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it87% 48 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIvnytskyi2wins
AwayKolos8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKolos leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvnytskyi33.3%1 of 3
AwayKolos85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivnytskyi3Kolos7n = 10Kolos took 7 of 10
S2Ivnytskyi2Kolos8n = 10Kolos took 8 of 10
S3Ivnytskyi0Kolos10n = 10Kolos took 10 of 10
S4Ivnytskyi2Kolos2n = 4split evenly
S5Ivnytskyi2Kolos1n = 3Ivnytskyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricIvnytskyiKolosI − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.439.9−9.5per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvnytskyiKolosBasisWin rate · lifetime45 / 122 vs 164 / 30836.9%53.3%45 / 122 vs 164 / 308Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KolosIvnytskyi 3.75/Kolos 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Kolos · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kolos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 3 · 09:00V. Ivnytskyi41121110442O. Kolos521081211113
LSep 30 · 13:30V. Ivnytskyi2596100O. Kolos341111123
WSep 23 · 15:00V. Ivnytskyi49812711113O. Kolos49111011892
LSep 21 · 13:30V. Ivnytskyi207670O. Kolos331111113
LSep 19 · 11:00V. Ivnytskyi218670O. Kolos331111113
LAug 10 · 17:13V. Ivnytskyi321110741O. Kolos4391211113
WAug 10 · 14:00V. Ivnytskyi46114711133O. Kolos50811119112
LAug 3 · 16:30V. Ivnytskyi237970O. Kolos331111113
LJul 6 · 13:30V. Ivnytskyi187560O. Kolos331111113
LJun 20 · 08:30V. Ivnytskyi29121250O. Kolos391414113
V. Ivnytskyi10
WOct 7 · 13:30V. Ivnytskyi2.3811121011113V. Klymenko1.5391412892LOct 7 · 12:00V. Ivnytskyi2.75111111762R. Boklah1.40139611113LOct 3 · 11:00V. Ivnytskyi3.00141111892R. Boklah1.36167711113LOct 3 · 09:00O. Kolos1.221081211113V. Ivnytskyi4.00121110442LOct 3 · 08:00V. Ivnytskyi5.007911101A. Fastov1.1411118123WOct 3 · 07:00D. Aldayev2.751051191V. Ivnytskyi1.4012119113LOct 3 · 05:30V. Ivnytskyi2.2571150V. Klymenko1.571113113LSep 30 · 16:59V. Klymenko1.801311113V. Ivnytskyi1.9111880WSep 30 · 15:30D. Aldayev2.63119591V. Ivnytskyi1.4451111113LSep 30 · 14:30V. Ivnytskyi3.2561181162R. Boklah1.33115119113
O. Kolos10
LOct 7 · 14:00D. Aldayev3.407111511113O. Kolos1.3011917852WOct 7 · 12:30V. Klymenko3.5091111792O. Kolos1.28117811113WOct 5 · 17:48O. Kolos2.501112113R. Boklah1.5051090WOct 5 · 16:00D. Aldayev3.4011921192O. Kolos1.30911118113WOct 5 · 14:30V. Klymenko3.0055110O. Kolos1.361111133WOct 5 · 13:00Y. Priadko2.004990O. Kolos1.731111113LOct 5 · 12:00R. Boklah1.5711812113O. Kolos2.254111061WOct 3 · 10:30O. Kolos1.3381114113D. Aldayev3.251191271WOct 3 · 09:00O. Kolos1.221081211113V. Ivnytskyi4.00121110442LOct 3 · 07:30O. Kolos1.3012731182V. Klymenko3.401011116113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.