TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Kolos vs Vitalii Klymenko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210711311116811
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:27 and never touched: 74.7% is still 74.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolos to win
74.7%
74.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Kolos above · Vitalii Klymenko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 90 set 5, 8-11 · our read held Oleksandr Kolos at 74.7%
90 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolos 36–18 Vitalii Klymenko Vitalii Klymenko has won 18 of their 54 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:2774.7%Our read76.9%to break even at 1.30
short by 2.2pp76.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.30 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Kolos
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
36-18 in 54
Kolos
Wrong
gap of 18 in 54, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolos 1139 vs Klymenko 1075
Kolos
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolos 100% vs Klymenko 60%
Kolos
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolos 70% vs Klymenko 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolos +6 · Klymenko +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% · Strong (leans Kolos) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klymenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolos 1.30 / Klymenko 3.40
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Kolos)-2.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13234699
Kolos1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite75% won 60 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it89% 46 of 52
Klymenko3.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 35 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back19% 11 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolos8wins
AwayKlymenko2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKolos leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolos85.7%6 of 7
AwayKlymenko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolos7Klymenko3n = 10Kolos took 7 of 10
S2Kolos5Klymenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Kolos8Klymenko2n = 10Kolos took 8 of 10
S4Kolos5Klymenko2n = 7Kolos took 5 of 7
S5Kolos3Klymenko2n = 5Kolos took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolosKlymenkoKolos − KlymenkoBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.934.7+6.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolosKlymenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime160 / 304 vs 103 / 25452.6%40.6%160 / 304 vs 103 / 254Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.035.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KolosKolos 1.30/Klymenko 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.7%
Kolos · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Klymenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 3 · 07:30O. Kolos4112731182V. Klymenko491011116113
WSep 30 · 15:00O. Kolos341112113V. Klymenko1741030
WSep 28 · 16:00O. Kolos4491113113V. Klymenko331141171
LSep 26 · 10:02O. Kolos3951111572V. Klymenko43114611113
WSep 26 · 06:00O. Kolos501151111123V. Klymenko49711138102
WSep 23 · 17:28O. Kolos45931111113V. Klymenko3711114382
WSep 23 · 13:30O. Kolos331111113V. Klymenko184680
WSep 21 · 15:00O. Kolos52129119113V. Klymenko44101171152
WSep 19 · 08:00O. Kolos341112113V. Klymenko2161050
WAug 15 · 09:00O. Kolos3711411113V. Klymenko36811981
O. Kolos10
WOct 3 · 06:00O. Kolos2.1011115113A. Fastov1.67781151WOct 3 · 04:30O. Kolos2.501111113R. Boklah1.505830WSep 30 · 17:28R. Boklah1.4478111152O. Kolos2.63111188113WSep 30 · 16:30D. Aldayev2.5010560O. Kolos1.501211113WSep 30 · 15:00O. Kolos1.361112113V. Klymenko3.0041030WSep 30 · 13:30O. Kolos1.331111123V. Ivnytskyi3.2596100LSep 30 · 12:00O. Kolos2.631181341R. Boklah1.4471115113WSep 28 · 16:00V. Klymenko2.751141171O. Kolos1.4091113113LSep 28 · 14:30A. Fastov1.73811611113O. Kolos2.0011311982LSep 28 · 13:00D. Aldayev3.401111113O. Kolos1.306880
V. Klymenko10
WOct 3 · 06:30V. Klymenko2.251111113R. Boklah1.572650WOct 3 · 05:30V. Ivnytskyi2.2571150V. Klymenko1.571113113WSep 30 · 16:59V. Klymenko1.801311113V. Ivnytskyi1.9111880LSep 30 · 16:00V. Klymenko2.209111291R. Boklah1.6111514113LSep 30 · 15:00O. Kolos1.361112113V. Klymenko3.0041030WSep 30 · 14:00D. Aldayev2.1011881192V. Klymenko1.67511118113WSep 30 · 12:30V. Ivnytskyi1.8393111192V. Klymenko1.83111189113WSep 28 · 17:05V. Klymenko1.73119211123D. Aldayev2.00711117102LSep 28 · 16:00V. Klymenko2.751141171O. Kolos1.4091113113WSep 28 · 15:00R. Boklah1.5091111131V. Klymenko2.5011513153
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