TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr V Kovalchuk vs Artem Chepurnyi · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Starts Oct 10, 23:25Scheduled
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Head to head
34 – 82
All 116 meetings · 29.3%
Last 10 · 2–8Same side
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Oleksandr V Kovalchuk arrives off 3 straight losses. The streak is one of the signals the engine reads.
Compare playersPrice verdict
No edgeThe price already says it
Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.
Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovalchuk 3.00 / Chepurnyi 1.363
Setka Cup · #13270358
Kovalchuk3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 09)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 76 of 231
Down 0–1, comes back15% 20 of 131
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 83
Chepurnyi1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 09)
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 163 of 247
Up 2–0, closes it93% 80 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it84% 124 of 148
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKovalchuk2wins
AwayChepurnyi8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderChepurnyi leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovalchuk50%2 of 4
AwayChepurnyi100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovalchuk4Chepurnyi6n = 10Chepurnyi took 6 of 10
S2Kovalchuk7Chepurnyi3n = 10Kovalchuk took 7 of 10
S3Kovalchuk1Chepurnyi9n = 10Chepurnyi took 9 of 10
S4Kovalchuk2Chepurnyi5n = 7Chepurnyi took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKovalchukChepurnyiK − CBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.540.1−5.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovalchukChepurnyiBasisWin rate · lifetime323 / 772 vs 543 / 91241.8%59.5%323 / 772 vs 543 / 912Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 7 · 14:25O. Kovalchuk37911891A. Chepurnyi4211911113
LOct 3 · 21:55O. Kovalchuk4012551442A. Chepurnyi5510111112113
LOct 2 · 14:25O. Kovalchuk305114101A. Chepurnyi3911511123
LSep 30 · 22:55O. Kovalchuk165380A. Chepurnyi331111113
WSep 30 · 03:25O. Kovalchuk391111173A. Chepurnyi3078150
LSep 23 · 01:55O. Kovalchuk47111196102A. Chepurnyi41611111123
LAug 23 · 22:55O. Kovalchuk399118111A. Chepurnyi4011511133
WJul 23 · 03:25O. Kovalchuk4711127173A. Chepurnyi4591011151
LJul 21 · 22:25O. Kovalchuk199820A. Chepurnyi331111113
LJul 20 · 02:55O. Kovalchuk31612851A. Chepurnyi43111011113
O. Kovalchuk10
LOct 9 · 17:25O. Dukhovenko1.141211113O. Kovalchuk5.0010640LOct 9 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko1.131611113O. Kovalchuk5.5014690LOct 9 · 13:25V. Krokhmal1.73711414113O. Kovalchuk2.00119111262LOct 7 · 20:25O. Kovalchuk2.1010780O. Mishchenko1.671211113WOct 7 · 18:25E. Rubtsov2.10128100O. Kovalchuk1.671411123LOct 7 · 16:25V. Kovalenko2.001111113O. Kovalchuk1.734770LOct 7 · 15:25O. Kovalchuk2.0051111642V. Krokhmal1.73116911113LOct 7 · 14:25A. Chepurnyi1.3311911113O. Kovalchuk3.25911891WOct 7 · 03:25O. Kovalchuk1.73111611113V. Panasenko2.00518831LOct 7 · 01:55O. Kovalchuk1.731311991V. Krokhmal2.0015911113
A. Chepurnyi10
WOct 9 · 17:55V. Krokhmal2.638850A. Chepurnyi1.441111103WOct 9 · 16:55A. Chepurnyi1.3611119113O. Mishchenko3.00681131WOct 9 · 15:55O. Dukhovenko1.3681010A. Chepurnyi3.001112113LOct 9 · 14:25A. Chepurnyi2.3811118992Y. Kryvorotko1.53891111113LOct 7 · 19:55A. Chepurnyi1.4011116872V. Krokhmal2.75991111113LOct 7 · 17:55V. Kovalenko2.7514511113A. Chepurnyi1.401211991WOct 7 · 16:55A. Chepurnyi1.281111113O. Mishchenko3.507990LOct 7 · 15:55E. Rubtsov3.4011811113A. Chepurnyi1.30811881WOct 7 · 14:25A. Chepurnyi1.3311911113O. Kovalchuk3.25911891LOct 4 · 02:54A. Chepurnyi2.5010115141Y. Kryvorotko1.5012811163
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