TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Artem Chepurnyi vs Vitalii Krokhmal 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119119611811711
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:37 and never touched: 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeArtem Chepurnyi to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingArtem Chepurnyi above · Vitalii Krokhmal below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 94 set 5, 7-11 · our read held Artem Chepurnyi at 66.3%
94 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:3766.3%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 5.1pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Chepurnyi
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Chepurnyi 1792 vs Krokhmal 1636
Chepurnyi
Wrong
both rated, 155 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chepurnyi 40% vs Krokhmal 20%
Chepurnyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chepurnyi 60% vs Krokhmal 20%
Chepurnyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chepurnyi -1 · Krokhmal -3
Krokhmal
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% · Clear lean (leans Chepurnyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChepurnyi 1.40 / Krokhmal 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Chepurnyi)-5.1pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13255822
Chepurnyi1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 166 of 248
Up 2–0, closes it94% 83 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it85% 127 of 150
Krokhmal2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 152 days ago (May 08) · back after a break
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 101 of 230
Down 0–1, comes back25% 29 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricChepurnyiKrokhmalBasisWin rate · lifetime543 / 918 vs 200 / 43159.2%46.4%543 / 918 vs 200 / 431Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ChepurnyiChepurnyi 1.40/Krokhmal 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.3%
Chepurnyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Krokhmal won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Chepurnyi10
LOct 7 · 17:55V. Kovalenko2.7514511113A. Chepurnyi1.401211991WOct 7 · 16:55A. Chepurnyi1.281111113O. Mishchenko3.507990LOct 7 · 15:55E. Rubtsov3.4011811113A. Chepurnyi1.30811881WOct 7 · 14:25A. Chepurnyi1.3311911113O. Kovalchuk3.25911891LOct 4 · 02:54A. Chepurnyi2.5010115141Y. Kryvorotko1.5012811163LOct 4 · 00:55Y. Kryvorotko1.571111123A. Chepurnyi2.2553100WOct 3 · 23:55A. Chepurnyi1.501111133O. Mishchenko2.5039110WOct 3 · 22:55P. Plakushchyi2.254950A. Chepurnyi1.571111113WOct 3 · 21:55A. Chepurnyi1.3310111112113O. Kovalchuk3.2512551442WOct 2 · 18:54O. Mishchenko2.1012711772A. Chepurnyi1.671011611113
V. Krokhmal10
WOct 7 · 18:55O. Mishchenko1.6771111462V. Krokhmal2.10116711113LOct 7 · 17:25E. Rubtsov1.5311511113V. Krokhmal2.38811671WOct 7 · 15:25O. Kovalchuk2.0051111642V. Krokhmal1.73116911113LOct 7 · 13:25V. Kovalenko1.4711911113V. Krokhmal2.50811341LOct 7 · 03:55V. Krokhmal1.83126711E. Rubtsov1.83101111113WOct 7 · 01:55O. Kovalchuk1.731311991V. Krokhmal2.0015911113LOct 7 · 00:55V. Krokhmal2.00361151O. Mishchenko1.7311117113WOct 6 · 23:55V. Panasenko1.836115111V. Krokhmal1.8311911133LOct 6 · 22:25V. Krokhmal2.101196101V. Kovalenko1.6781111123WOct 2 · 11:35V. Krokhmal1.911611123V. Kaidakov1.80148100
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