Vitalii Krokhmal vs Eduard Rubtsov 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 7Finished

Vitalii Krokhmal

Home

1.83

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 3

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

1210611711111––

Eduard Rubtsov

Away

1.83

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:47 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Eduard Rubtsov to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingVitalii Krokhmal above · Eduard Rubtsov below

Set 1 · 12-10

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 7-11

Set 4 · 1-11

Point 69 set 4, 1-11 · our read held Eduard Rubtsov at 54.0%

69 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 03:47

54.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833

short by 0.6pp

54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Rubtsov

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Krokhmal 1661 vs Rubtsov 1523

Krokhmal

Wrong

both rated, 138 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Krokhmal 20% vs Rubtsov 60%

Rubtsov

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Krokhmal 20% vs Rubtsov 40%

Rubtsov

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Krokhmal -3 · Rubtsov +2

Krokhmal

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Rubtsov) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKrokhmal 1.833 / Rubtsov 1.833

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Rubtsov)-0.6pp

Setka Cup · #13250682

Krokhmal1.83

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 152 days ago (May 08) · back after a break

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Rubtsov1.83

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricKrokhmalRubtsovBasisWin rate · lifetime198 / 426 vs 293 / 75146.5%39%198 / 426 vs 293 / 751Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.735.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Rubtsov

Krokhmal 1.83/Rubtsov 1.83

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Rubtsov · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Rubtsov won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

V. Krokhmal10