TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Erik Mares vs Jan Zajicek · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA14 · Liberec
Starts 12:30Scheduled
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Head to head
65 – 65
All 130 meetings · 50.0%
Last 10 · 6–4
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Neither player arrives off a win: both lost their last one. The streak signal has nobody to back here.
Compare playersPrice verdict
CautionJan Zajicek at 1.80
The favourite carries a measured weakness the price does not charge for.
Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.
Round robin · match 6 of 6
4 of 6 playedA14 · Liberec · Group 1 of 23 on the day's ladder
Round robin before this match
Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.
| # | Player | W–L | Sets | To play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josef Medek | 2–0 | 6–2 | 1 |
| 2 | Lukas Boruvka | 1–1 | 4–4 | 1 |
| 3 | Erik MaresThis match | 1–1 | 3–4 | 1 |
| 4 | Jan ZajicekThis match | 0–2 | 3–6 | 1 |
Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMares 1.909 / Zajicek 1.80
Czech Liga Pro · #13269575
Mares1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 112 of 248
Down 0–1, comes back25% 31 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back12% 9 of 77
Zajicek1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 98 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it83% 78 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMares6wins
AwayZajicek4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMares leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMares80%4 of 5
AwayZajicek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mares5Zajicek5n = 10split evenly
S2Mares4Zajicek6n = 10Zajicek took 6 of 10
S3Mares8Zajicek2n = 10Mares took 8 of 10
S4Mares5Zajicek2n = 7Mares took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaresZajicekM − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.635.8+2.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaresZajicekBasisWin rate · lifetime613 / 1224 vs 320 / 61250.1%52.3%613 / 1224 vs 320 / 612Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.136.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 7 · 19:00E. Mares351111133J. Zajicek2458110
LSep 24 · 19:00E. Mares205960J. Zajicek331111113
LSep 21 · 16:58E. Mares421291291J. Zajicek46141110113
WSep 21 · 16:00E. Mares4261411113J. Zajicek381112961
WSep 16 · 19:30E. Mares4311912113J. Zajicek378111081
LSep 5 · 13:00E. Mares361111771J. Zajicek4161311113
WSep 5 · 11:30E. Mares4011711113J. Zajicek34911681
WSep 4 · 19:30E. Mares371111153J. Zajicek2685130
WSep 2 · 20:30E. Mares4181111113J. Zajicek24113281
LAug 30 · 07:00E. Mares50910131262J. Zajicek5511121110113
E. Mares10
LOct 10 · 11:00E. Mares2.507930J. Medek1.501111113WOct 10 · 10:00L. Boruvka1.401199101E. Mares2.7551111123LOct 8 · 03:30T. Postelt2.001411113E. Mares1.7312990LOct 8 · 02:00E. Mares1.67811157112J. Ruzicka2.101171311133WOct 8 · 01:00E. Mares1.8311117113L. Zeman1.83951181WOct 8 · 00:00J. Vales1.806480E. Mares1.911111113WOct 7 · 22:30T. Postelt2.0088111152E. Mares1.73111189113WOct 7 · 21:30E. Mares2.4511117113J. Medek1.48961151WOct 7 · 20:30E. Mares1.911113133J. Vales1.80411110WOct 7 · 19:00E. Mares1.801111133J. Zajicek1.9158110
J. Zajicek10
LOct 10 · 11:30J. Zajicek4.50413831L. Boruvka1.17111111113LOct 10 · 10:30J. Medek1.738111011113J. Zajicek2.0011812942LOct 7 · 21:00J. Vales2.40111199113J. Zajicek1.5096111182LOct 7 · 20:00J. Medek1.6111119113J. Zajicek2.20851181LOct 7 · 19:00E. Mares1.801111133J. Zajicek1.9158110WOct 7 · 18:30J. Zajicek1.4471113113J. Vales2.631191191LSep 27 · 17:30J. Zajicek1.444770J. Cernik2.631111113WSep 27 · 16:00J. Zajicek1.401111113D. Opanasiuk2.754290WSep 27 · 15:30M. Huk3.256950J. Zajicek1.331111113WSep 27 · 14:00J. Zajicek1.401111119113J. Cernik2.7561341152
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