TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Pawel Kurek vs Rafal Komandzik 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesBLW · Blachownia
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12101012112113––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:32 and never touched: 79.0% is still 79.0%
Graded at full timePawel Kurek to win
79.0%
79.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
12101012112113––
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:3279.0%Our read75.8%to break even at 1.32
clears by 3.2pp75.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.32 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.32 (69%)
Kurek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kurek 1391 vs Komandzik 1090
Kurek
Correct
both rated, 301 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurek 40% vs Komandzik 20%
Kurek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurek 50% vs Komandzik 30%
Kurek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurek +1 · Komandzik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% · Strong (leans Kurek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Komandzik form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurek 1.32 / Komandzik 3.00
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Kurek)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13267114
Kurek1.32
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 251 of 391
Up 2–0, closes it95% 121 of 127
Up 1–0, closes it83% 176 of 211
Komandzik3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurekKomandzikBasisWin rate · lifetime480 / 941 vs 5 / 2851%17.9%480 / 941 vs 5 / 28Avg sets wonper match2.01.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.331.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
KurekKurek 1.32/Komandzik 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79%
Kurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kurek won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Kurek10
LOct 9 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz2.251112113P. Kurek1.5581060LOct 9 · 07:10Y. Fomin1.861611118113P. Kurek1.8618871182LOct 9 · 06:25P. Kurek1.6379110A. Ruszkiewicz2.151111133LOct 9 · 04:50P. Kurek2.137119111O. Sokolowski1.6511511133WOct 9 · 04:00O. Vincenec1.915450P. Kurek1.701111113LOct 9 · 02:45O. Vincenec1.951111113P. Kurek1.758840WOct 9 · 00:25K. Adamus1.7010860P. Kurek2.001211113LOct 8 · 23:10M. Tkocz1.4611812113P. Kurek2.355111071WOct 8 · 21:35G. Jurowicz2.557840P. Kurek1.451111113LOct 8 · 08:20P. Kurek2.10117451K. Hetnar1.6081111113
R. Komandzik10
WOct 9 · 02:20M. Tkocz1.181147101R. Komandzik4.2061111123LOct 8 · 23:35G. Jurowicz1.36111011113R. Komandzik2.66912661WOct 8 · 22:50K. Adamus1.26121081152R. Komandzik3.501012117113LOct 8 · 21:10O. Vincenec1.52111110113R. Komandzik2.30781281LOct 8 · 20:20M. Tkocz1.141111113R. Komandzik5.007720LOct 8 · 19:35W. Pytlas1.271111113R. Komandzik3.259360LOct 8 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.2211811113R. Komandzik4.00511451WOct 8 · 16:50G. Jurowicz1.47118881R. Komandzik2.4061111113LOct 8 · 15:10K. Adamus1.601113173R. Komandzik2.10711150LSep 11 · 08:20M. Adamus1.301011911133R. Komandzik3.25124117112
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