TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Marek Tkocz vs Kacper Adamus · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Starts 22:00Scheduled
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Head to head
38 – 36
All 74 meetings · 51.4%
Last 10 · 7–3Same side
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Marek Tkocz arrives on a run of 4 straight wins. The streak is one of the signals the engine reads.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 4h before this match
Tkocz beat Adamus 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkocz 1.67 / Adamus 1.95
TT Elite Series · #13266629
Tkocz1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 287 of 422
Up 2–0, closes it95% 162 of 170
Up 1–0, closes it86% 241 of 279
Adamus1.95
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 81 of 175
Down 0–1, comes back21% 19 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTkocz7wins
AwayAdamus3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTkocz leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTkocz100%6 of 6
AwayAdamus75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tkocz6Adamus4n = 10Tkocz took 6 of 10
S2Tkocz5Adamus5n = 10split evenly
S3Tkocz7Adamus3n = 10Tkocz took 7 of 10
S4Tkocz5Adamus4n = 9Tkocz took 5 of 9
S5Tkocz2Adamus1n = 3Tkocz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTkoczAdamusT − ABasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.037.6+3.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkoczAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime772 / 1167 vs 926 / 169566.2%54.6%772 / 1167 vs 926 / 1695Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 8 · 18:00M. Tkocz3811115113K. Adamus33871171
WOct 1 · 22:00M. Tkocz4211711133K. Adamus345117111
WOct 1 · 20:45M. Tkocz4181111113K. Adamus24116251
WSep 3 · 22:50M. Tkocz3811115113K. Adamus35781191
LSep 3 · 15:10M. Tkocz4387111162K. Adamus48111178113
LAug 28 · 02:00M. Tkocz33513871K. Adamus44111111113
WAug 27 · 16:25M. Tkocz58219116113K. Adamus51191151152
LAug 21 · 02:00M. Tkocz367811101K. Adamus4011116123
WAug 20 · 20:45M. Tkocz48115129113K. Adamus46611101182
WAug 6 · 21:35M. Tkocz331111113K. Adamus218490
M. Tkocz10
WOct 8 · 20:20M. Tkocz1.141111113R. Komandzik5.007720WOct 8 · 18:45M. Koczyba1.78118981M. Tkocz1.9191111113WOct 8 · 18:00K. Adamus1.91871171M. Tkocz1.8011115113WOct 8 · 17:10M. Tkocz1.461111113W. Pytlas2.554130LOct 8 · 16:00M. Tkocz1.8491191152G. Jurowicz1.87118115113LOct 7 · 02:00M. Tkocz1.809360G. Jurowicz1.911111113LOct 7 · 00:45M. Tkocz1.405660M. Adamus2.651111113WOct 6 · 23:35M. Tkocz1.181111113J. Nowak4.156940WOct 6 · 22:25A. Burkacki3.17711581M. Tkocz1.3111911113WOct 6 · 21:35M. Tkocz1.461112133P. Adamus2.50610110
K. Adamus10
WOct 8 · 20:45K. Adamus1.64115911123W. Pytlas2.14811119102WOct 8 · 19:10K. Adamus1.471111113G. Jurowicz2.457850LOct 8 · 18:00K. Adamus1.91871171M. Tkocz1.8011115113WOct 8 · 16:25K. Adamus1.851111113M. Koczyba1.808890WOct 8 · 15:10K. Adamus1.601113173R. Komandzik2.10711150WOct 7 · 16:20K. Adamus1.70101111113R. Gajda2.04128691LOct 7 · 15:05K. Adamus2.178590R. Niemiec1.621111113WOct 7 · 13:55K. Adamus1.391111113O. Sokolowski2.809560WOct 7 · 12:45W. Urban1.778811101K. Adamus1.9511115123WOct 7 · 11:55K. Adamus1.501161111113O. Sokolowski2.4091161392
Upcoming Matches
M. Tkocz
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K. Adamus
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