TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Mateusz Trela vs Dawid Poloszczanski · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Starts 21:30Scheduled
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Head to head
22 – 15
All 37 meetings · 59.5%
Last 10 · 6–4Same side
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Both players are 4–6 over their last ten. The difference is the direction: Dawid Poloszczanski arrives off a win, Mateusz Trela off a loss, and the streak is one of the signals the engine reads.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 4h before this match
Trela beat Poloszczanski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrela 1.90 / Poloszczanski 1.80
TT Elite Series · #13266403
Trela1.90
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 130 of 316
Down 0–1, comes back26% 46 of 176
Down 0–2, comes back8% 7 of 85
Poloszczanski1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 62 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it100% 27 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it82% 44 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTrela6wins
AwayPoloszczanski4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTrela leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTrela83.3%5 of 6
AwayPoloszczanski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Trela6Poloszczanski4n = 10Trela took 6 of 10
S2Trela4Poloszczanski6n = 10Poloszczanski took 6 of 10
S3Trela3Poloszczanski7n = 10Poloszczanski took 7 of 10
S4Trela5Poloszczanski4n = 9Trela took 5 of 9
S5Trela4Poloszczanski1n = 5Trela took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTrelaPoloszczanskiT − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.142.2+0.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrelaPoloszczanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime810 / 1659 vs 358 / 88348.8%40.5%810 / 1659 vs 358 / 883Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 8 · 17:45M. Trela49117119113D. Poloszczanski3871171122
LOct 3 · 22:55M. Trela46111081162D. Poloszczanski45612115113
WOct 3 · 20:05M. Trela4111118113D. Poloszczanski35871191
WOct 2 · 22:15M. Trela50891111113D. Poloszczanski4511118692
WMay 24 · 08:10M. Trela56179811113D. Poloszczanski52151111782
LMay 3 · 14:20M. Trela35981171D. Poloszczanski4111118113
WMay 3 · 05:40M. Trela6011111017113D. Poloszczanski5257121992
LMay 2 · 09:25M. Trela194960D. Poloszczanski331111113
LMay 2 · 05:40M. Trela33912571D. Poloszczanski43111011113
WApr 19 · 04:55M. Trela4211128113D. Poloszczanski388101191
M. Trela10
LOct 8 · 20:30M. Trela1.7510911151J. Rolak1.9812118173LOct 8 · 18:55M. Trela1.65118561P. Krukar2.1051111113WOct 8 · 17:45M. Trela1.78117119113D. Poloszczanski1.9371171122WOct 8 · 16:15M. Trela1.611111113M. Kowalczyk2.205590LOct 8 · 15:00M. Trela1.95116115112M. Skorski1.76911911133WOct 7 · 23:20B. Mrugala2.54816100M. Trela1.461118123LOct 7 · 22:35A. Myszewski1.801112113M. Trela1.9071070WOct 7 · 22:15M. Trela1.451112113W. Suchecki2.5091030LOct 7 · 21:05P. Krukar2.1816811133M. Trela1.6214115111LOct 7 · 20:30M. Trela1.82672341B. Mrugala1.88111121113
D. Poloszczanski10
WOct 8 · 18:30M. Kowalczyk1.85121170D. Poloszczanski1.851413113LOct 8 · 17:45M. Trela1.78117119113D. Poloszczanski1.9371171122LOct 8 · 16:55D. Poloszczanski1.767111051J. Rolak1.9611412113LOct 8 · 15:50D. Poloszczanski1.8071110101P. Krukar1.8611812123LOct 4 · 00:35R. Stapor1.341111113D. Poloszczanski3.004940WOct 3 · 22:55M. Trela1.91111081162D. Poloszczanski1.80612115113WOct 3 · 22:15A. Mugowski1.92611991D. Poloszczanski1.7911911113WOct 3 · 21:30K. Sulkowski1.9074110D. Poloszczanski1.811111133LOct 3 · 20:05D. Poloszczanski1.93871191M. Trela1.7711118113LOct 3 · 18:30A. Eliasz1.51791311113D. Poloszczanski2.40111111982
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