TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Adrian Myszewski vs Mateusz Trela 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171210117––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:24 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdrian Myszewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
1171210117––––
H2H Adrian Myszewski 11–15 Mateusz Trela Adrian Myszewski has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:2454.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.6pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Myszewski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
11-15 in 26
Trela
Wrong
gap of 4 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Myszewski 1320 vs Trela 1265
Myszewski
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Myszewski 0% vs Trela 20%
Trela
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Myszewski 20% vs Trela 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Myszewski -7 · Trela -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Myszewski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trela form (20%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMyszewski 1.80 / Trela 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Myszewski)-1.6pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13260283
Myszewski1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 83 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it91% 38 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it80% 70 of 88
Trela1.90
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog41% won 130 of 315
Down 0–1, comes back26% 46 of 175
Down 0–2, comes back8% 7 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMyszewski4wins
AwayTrela6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTrela leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMyszewski66.7%4 of 6
AwayTrela100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Myszewski6Trela4n = 10Myszewski took 6 of 10
S2Myszewski4Trela6n = 10Trela took 6 of 10
S3Myszewski3Trela7n = 10Trela took 7 of 10
S4Myszewski4Trela4n = 8split evenly
S5Myszewski1Trela2n = 3Trela took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMyszewskiTrelaM − TBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.340.0−0.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMyszewskiTrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime453 / 925 vs 806 / 165149%48.8%453 / 925 vs 806 / 1651Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MyszewskiMyszewski 1.80/Trela 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Myszewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Myszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 22:35A. Myszewski3611311113M. Trela30711481
WSep 14 · 16:15A. Myszewski4211119113M. Trela34991151
LSep 9 · 23:20A. Myszewski4511115992M. Trela50981111113
LSep 9 · 20:30A. Myszewski30851161M. Trela3611113113
LSep 6 · 23:20A. Myszewski33815100M. Trela401117123
WSep 6 · 20:30A. Myszewski4111118113M. Trela35991161
LAug 14 · 04:10A. Myszewski2510960M. Trela341211113
LAug 9 · 13:25A. Myszewski4711971192M. Trela46811115113
WAug 9 · 03:40A. Myszewski50118119113M. Trela4781191182
LJul 31 · 23:20A. Myszewski4414111091M. Trela4816912113
A. Myszewski10
LOct 7 · 21:55B. Mrugala2.53411137133A. Myszewski1.461191111112LOct 7 · 19:40K. Staszczyk1.171311113A. Myszewski4.5011560LOct 7 · 18:50K. Rudomina1.831012125113A. Myszewski1.831210101172LOct 7 · 18:05A. Myszewski2.505870P. Blocho1.501111113LOct 7 · 16:30A. Myszewski2.3891141182S. Brud1.53118117113LOct 7 · 15:45P. Perzynski1.441111113A. Myszewski2.636980LOct 7 · 00:35B. Mrugala1.9011311113A. Myszewski1.81811771WOct 6 · 22:55K. Golaszewski2.60511841A. Myszewski1.4211711113LOct 6 · 22:15J. Rolak2.461111113A. Myszewski1.439680WOct 6 · 21:30M. Skorski2.53117871A. Myszewski1.4761111113
M. Trela10
WOct 7 · 23:20B. Mrugala2.54816100M. Trela1.461118123LOct 7 · 21:05P. Krukar2.1816811133M. Trela1.6214115111LOct 7 · 20:30M. Trela1.82672341B. Mrugala1.88111121113LOct 7 · 18:55M. Trela1.47921131P. Strus2.5011119113WOct 7 · 17:45M. Trela1.5781111143W. Suchecki2.201168121LOct 7 · 16:15M. Trela1.688540M. Kowalczyk2.051111113WOct 7 · 15:00M. Trela1.701111113P. Krukar2.003990LOct 5 · 23:20A. Linek1.5011128113M. Trela2.508101181LOct 5 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.2011911143M. Trela4.336114121LOct 5 · 22:10M. Trela2.638640A. Gromek1.441111113
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