TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jaroslaw Badura vs Jakub Kaczmarek 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118411115114––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
118411115114––
H2H Jaroslaw Badura 15–2 Jakub Kaczmarek Jakub Kaczmarek has won 2 of their 17 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 10h before this match
Badura beat Kaczmarek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaczmarek form (20%) is below what odds imply (37%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBadura 1.42 / Kaczmarek 2.68
TT Elite Series · #13265337
Badura1.42
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 85 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it88% 61 of 69
Kaczmarek2.68
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 180 of 507
Down 0–1, comes back18% 55 of 312
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 179
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBadura9wins
AwayKaczmarek1wins
Badura leads 9–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBadura100%8 of 8
AwayKaczmarekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Badura8Kaczmarek2n = 10Badura took 8 of 10
S2Badura8Kaczmarek2n = 10Badura took 8 of 10
S3Badura8Kaczmarek2n = 10Badura took 8 of 10
S4Badura4Kaczmarek1n = 5Badura took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBaduraKaczmarekB − KBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.729.3+9.4per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBaduraKaczmarekBasisWin rate · lifetime322 / 580 vs 516 / 136855.5%37.7%322 / 580 vs 516 / 1368Avg sets wonper match2.11.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BaduraBadura 1.42/Kaczmarek 2.68
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–1
Badura won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 8 · 06:45J. Badura57211114113J. Kaczmarek482371261
WAug 26 · 07:10J. Badura331111113J. Kaczmarek194690
WMay 11 · 01:10J. Badura4211119113J. Kaczmarek35991161
WMar 29 · 22:25J. Badura4011711113J. Kaczmarek29611571
WFeb 9 · 03:20J. Badura331111113J. Kaczmarek188550
WFeb 8 · 21:20J. Badura43111011113J. Kaczmarek36912871
LDec 29 · 01:00J. Badura379117101J. Kaczmarek4111711123
WDec 22 · 01:00J. Badura361113123J. Kaczmarek28711100
WDec 15 · 00:10J. Badura331111113J. Kaczmarek216870
WDec 8 · 03:45J. Badura331111113J. Kaczmarek187560
J. Badura10
WOct 8 · 15:05J. Badura1.571111113W. Glanowski2.205730LOct 8 · 13:55J. Badura1.5711881172P. Slosarczyk2.20911118113WOct 8 · 12:45J. Nowak2.451161181J. Badura1.4713118113LOct 8 · 11:55J. Badura1.87781141K. Schaniel1.8311116113WOct 8 · 10:20J. Badura1.40511128183J. Nowak2.751191011162WOct 8 · 09:05J. Badura1.421111113W. Glanowski2.559590WOct 8 · 07:55J. Badura1.641111113P. Slosarczyk2.138360WOct 8 · 06:45J. Kaczmarek2.472371261J. Badura1.49211114113WOct 8 · 05:55J. Badura1.80611611113K. Schaniel1.8611511562WOct 7 · 01:45J. Badura1.20181111113I. Szymanski4.33209561
J. Kaczmarek10
LOct 8 · 15:30J. Nowak2.05611411113J. Kaczmarek1.7011811592WOct 8 · 14:45J. Kaczmarek2.5681112113K. Schaniel1.461161071LOct 8 · 13:10J. Kaczmarek1.8511712542P. Slosarczyk1.859111011113LOct 8 · 12:20W. Glanowski1.858111115113J. Kaczmarek1.85111341392LOct 8 · 11:05J. Kaczmarek2.15117841K. Schaniel1.6491111113WOct 8 · 09:30J. Kaczmarek1.757111110113J. Nowak1.9511091242WOct 8 · 08:20J. Kaczmarek2.0071211113W. Glanowski1.711110891LOct 8 · 06:45J. Kaczmarek2.472371261J. Badura1.49211114113WOct 8 · 05:30J. Kaczmarek1.85611511113P. Slosarczyk1.8511711982LOct 7 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek2.307160P. Adamus1.521111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Badura
Nothing scheduled
J. Kaczmarek
Oct 9 · 03:00J. Kaczmarek1.83M. Baron1.83—Oct 9 · 04:10J. Kaczmarek2.25R. Idaczyk1.57—Oct 9 · 05:40J. Kaczmarek2.00Z. Sobkow1.73—Oct 9 · 06:55J. Kaczmarek2.25L. Oracz1.57—Oct 9 · 08:35J. Kaczmarek1.91M. Jozefiak1.80—Oct 9 · 10:35J. Kaczmarek1.83M. Baron1.83—Oct 9 · 13:05J. Kaczmarek2.25L. Oracz1.57—Oct 9 · 13:55J. Kaczmarek1.73O. Sokolowski2.00—
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