TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Bartosz Czerwinski vs Kamil Klocek 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118115117––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:45 and never touched: 70.5% is still 70.5%
Graded at full timeBartosz Czerwinski to win
70.5%
70.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
118115117––––
H2H Bartosz Czerwinski 1–2 Kamil Klocek Bartosz Czerwinski has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:4570.5%Our read73.5%to break even at 1.36
short by 3.0pp73.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.36 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (68%)
Czerwinski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Czerwinski 1522 vs Klocek 1358
Czerwinski
Correct
both rated, 165 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Czerwinski 80% vs Klocek 40%
Czerwinski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Czerwinski 60% vs Klocek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Czerwinski +1 · Klocek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% · Strong (leans Czerwinski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCzerwinski 1.36 / Klocek 2.85
Signal prob.71% / 30%
Edge (Czerwinski)-3.0pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13264296
Czerwinski1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 120 of 190
Up 2–0, closes it96% 54 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it84% 86 of 103
Klocek2.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 98 of 254
Down 0–1, comes back19% 29 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeCzerwinski1wins
AwayKlocek2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderKlocek leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Czerwinski2Klocek1n = 3Czerwinski took 2 of 3
S2Czerwinski1Klocek2n = 3Klocek took 2 of 3
S3Czerwinski2Klocek1n = 3Czerwinski took 2 of 3
S4Czerwinski0Klocek3n = 3Klocek took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricCzerwinskiKlocekC − KBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match39.743.7−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCzerwinskiKlocekBasisWin rate · lifetime489 / 1013 vs 489 / 93648.3%52.2%489 / 1013 vs 489 / 936Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
CzerwinskiCzerwinski 1.36/Klocek 2.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.5%
Czerwinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Czerwinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 17 · 07:40B. Czerwinski45111175113K. Klocek3995111132
LAug 27 · 05:15B. Czerwinski45115111082K. Klocek51811912113
LAug 26 · 07:20B. Czerwinski29391161K. Klocek4111118113
B. Czerwinski10
WOct 8 · 10:10B. Czerwinski1.781211113D. Solilo1.9110860LOct 8 · 09:00B. Czerwinski1.601112991B. Sulkowski2.1571411113WOct 7 · 14:40D. Solilo1.8096121152B. Czerwinski1.901111107113WOct 7 · 13:30B. Czerwinski1.631111113M. Minda2.158770WOct 7 · 12:15R. Stapor2.2916870B. Czerwinski1.561811113WOct 7 · 11:00M. Kukawka2.251311771B. Czerwinski1.5715511113LOct 7 · 09:25K. Sulkowski3.1511115113B. Czerwinski1.30971181LOct 6 · 14:20D. Solilo1.621111133B. Czerwinski2.1599110LOct 6 · 13:30M. Kolek1.6011119113B. Czerwinski2.20871191WOct 6 · 11:25A. Sobel1.8012611772B. Czerwinski1.851011611113
K. Klocek10
WOct 8 · 11:00K. Klocek1.831111113M. Minda1.899890LOct 8 · 09:50K. Klocek3.3079111462J. Zochniak1.271111412113LOct 2 · 19:40K. Klocek1.60471181P. Strus2.1011119113WOct 2 · 18:30K. Klocek1.95117116113D. Szlubowski1.7551151182LOct 2 · 17:20K. Klocek2.2010950J. Glanowski1.571211113WOct 2 · 16:15M. Trela1.9512571172K. Klocek1.701011116113LOct 2 · 15:25K. Klocek1.70118461K. Sulkowski2.0091111113WOct 2 · 00:35K. Klocek2.2571111113J. Lamperski1.55116761LOct 1 · 23:45A. Myszewski1.901211113K. Klocek1.8010680WOct 1 · 22:35K. Klocek1.501111113J. Rolak2.359560
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