TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Lushchyk vs Serhii Chuhai 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151161210––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:22 and never touched: 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeAndrii Lushchyk to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Andrii Lushchyk @ 1.73 · Won
How it is goingAndrii Lushchyk above · Serhii Chuhai below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 55 set 3, 12-10 · our read held Andrii Lushchyk at 55.3%
55 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Lushchyk 113–60 Serhii Chuhai Serhii Chuhai has won 60 of their 173 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 13:2255.3%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 2.6pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Lushchyk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
113-60 in 173
Lushchyk
Correct
gap of 53 in 173, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lushchyk 1752 vs Chuhai 1754
Chuhai
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lushchyk 60% vs Chuhai 40%
Lushchyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lushchyk 40% vs Chuhai 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lushchyk -2 · Chuhai -3
Chuhai
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% · Slight lean (leans Lushchyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLushchyk 1.727 / Chuhai 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Lushchyk)-2.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13261889
Lushchyk1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite67% won 107 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it97% 59 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it82% 79 of 96
Chuhai2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 82 of 240
Down 0–1, comes back20% 29 of 143
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLushchyk8wins
AwayChuhai2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLushchyk leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLushchyk100%3 of 3
AwayChuhai28.6%2 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lushchyk3Chuhai7n = 10Chuhai took 7 of 10
S2Lushchyk7Chuhai3n = 10Lushchyk took 7 of 10
S3Lushchyk9Chuhai1n = 10Lushchyk took 9 of 10
S4Lushchyk5Chuhai4n = 9Lushchyk took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLushchykChuhaiL − CBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match42.935.2+7.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLushchykChuhaiBasisWin rate · lifetime377 / 807 vs 480 / 94746.7%50.7%377 / 807 vs 480 / 947Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LushchykLushchyk 1.73/Chuhai 2.00
Hit
What we said
55.3%
Lushchyk · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Andrii Lushchyk @ 1.73 · Won
What happened
3–0
Lushchyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 6 · 16:58A. Lushchyk44111111113S. Chuhai33513691
WOct 6 · 15:00A. Lushchyk46121111123S. Chuhai351456101
WOct 2 · 12:30A. Lushchyk44111111113S. Chuhai33135961
LOct 1 · 16:30A. Lushchyk36971191S. Chuhai3911116113
WOct 1 · 13:00A. Lushchyk521110119113S. Chuhai3831261162
WSep 29 · 14:30A. Lushchyk4391211113S. Chuhai301110451
LSep 24 · 16:00A. Lushchyk4191110111S. Chuhai4511912133
WSep 22 · 17:30A. Lushchyk331111113S. Chuhai239680
WSep 22 · 12:30A. Lushchyk4181111113S. Chuhai35118971
WSep 18 · 16:30A. Lushchyk49811118113S. Chuhai4111681152
A. Lushchyk10
LOct 8 · 13:30R. Ivanov1.2512115113A. Lushchyk3.751081141LOct 8 · 12:30A. Lushchyk2.6387130I. Fedoryshyn1.441111153WOct 6 · 16:58A. Lushchyk1.33111111113S. Chuhai3.25513691WOct 6 · 16:00A. Lushchyk2.381211113A. Kasyanov1.5310780WOct 6 · 15:00S. Chuhai2.101456101A. Lushchyk1.67121111123LOct 6 · 14:00M. Baday1.2011112113A. Lushchyk4.33961181LOct 6 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.259870LOct 2 · 15:30M. Baday1.201611113A. Lushchyk4.3314480WOct 2 · 14:30A. Lushchyk2.38611311113A. Kasyanov1.5311811592LOct 2 · 13:30R. Ivanov1.301111113A. Lushchyk3.403580
S. Chuhai10
LOct 8 · 13:00M. Baday1.5011118123S. Chuhai2.507311101LOct 8 · 12:00R. Ivanov1.256111011113S. Chuhai3.7511812982LOct 7 · 11:00A. Vasylets2.5011611113S. Chuhai1.50911561WOct 7 · 10:00O. Syksa4.50108110S. Chuhai1.171211133WOct 7 · 08:30M. Hubenko2.7511612792S. Chuhai1.409111011113WOct 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4.334970S. Chuhai1.201111113WOct 7 · 04:30D. Kuzmenko7.00211117112S. Chuhai1.08112911133LOct 6 · 16:58A. Lushchyk1.33111111113S. Chuhai3.25513691LOct 6 · 16:30M. Baday1.361111133S. Chuhai3.0089110LOct 6 · 15:00S. Chuhai2.101456101A. Lushchyk1.67121111123
Upcoming Matches
A. Lushchyk
Nothing scheduled
S. Chuhai
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