TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Miroshnychenko vs Maksym Hubenko 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116611611411––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:57 and never touched: 85.6% is still 85.6%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
85.6%
85.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Miroshnychenko above · Maksym Hubenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 66 set 4, 4-11 · our read held Maksym Hubenko at 85.6%
66 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Miroshnychenko 7–74 Maksym Hubenko Serhii Miroshnychenko has won 7 of their 81 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:5785.6%Our read85.8%to break even at 1.166
short by 0.2pp85.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.166 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Hubenko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
7-74 in 81
Hubenko
Correct
gap of 67 in 81, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Miroshnychenko 1352 vs Hubenko 1646
Hubenko
Correct
both rated, 295 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miroshnychenko 40% vs Hubenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miroshnychenko 30% vs Hubenko 50%
Hubenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Miroshnychenko -3 · Hubenko +1
Miroshnychenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% · Strong (leans Hubenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hubenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiroshnychenko 4.50 / Hubenko 1.166
Signal prob.14% / 86%
Edge (Hubenko)-0.2pp
Setka Cup · #13261469
Miroshnychenko4.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 06)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog23% won 70 of 309
Down 0–1, comes back11% 20 of 191
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 100
Hubenko1.17
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 258 of 366
Up 2–0, closes it93% 132 of 142
Up 1–0, closes it81% 182 of 226
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMiroshnychenko1wins
AwayHubenko9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMiroshnychenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHubenko100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Miroshnychenko2Hubenko8n = 10Hubenko took 8 of 10
S2Miroshnychenko4Hubenko6n = 10Hubenko took 6 of 10
S3Miroshnychenko4Hubenko6n = 10Hubenko took 6 of 10
S4Miroshnychenko1Hubenko7n = 8Hubenko took 7 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMiroshnychenkoHubenkoM − HBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.841.4−7.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiroshnychenkoHubenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime298 / 850 vs 576 / 105435.1%54.7%298 / 850 vs 576 / 1054Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoMiroshnychenko 4.50/Hubenko 1.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.6%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 1 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko315411111M. Hubenko4311118133
LSep 29 · 05:30S. Miroshnychenko361211671M. Hubenko4414811113
WSep 24 · 06:00S. Miroshnychenko44111111113M. Hubenko34813851
LSep 23 · 05:30S. Miroshnychenko441781271M. Hubenko51191110113
LSep 17 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko25481211M. Hubenko43111110113
LAug 21 · 05:00S. Miroshnychenko51111197132M. Hubenko49571111153
LAug 20 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko2851490M. Hubenko381116113
LAug 12 · 07:30S. Miroshnychenko33911491M. Hubenko4111811113
LAug 11 · 08:30S. Miroshnychenko166550M. Hubenko331111113
LAug 8 · 12:30S. Miroshnychenko30711571M. Hubenko3811511113
S. Miroshnychenko10
LOct 6 · 11:30S. Miroshnychenko3.25811451O. Kurylenko1.3311711113LOct 6 · 09:30O. Lyman1.331111113S. Miroshnychenko3.256590LOct 6 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.50158128113S. Miroshnychenko2.501311101182WOct 6 · 06:30S. Miroshnychenko2.50111178133D. Kuzmenko1.50681111112WOct 6 · 05:30S. Maliuk1.408720S. Miroshnychenko2.751111113LOct 2 · 11:30S. Miroshnychenko2.50711781D. Kuzmenko1.5011911113WOct 2 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.40711781S. Miroshnychenko2.7511411113LOct 2 · 07:30O. Syksa1.30111169113S. Miroshnychenko3.4085111152LOct 2 · 06:30S. Miroshnychenko3.25811791O. Lyman1.3311911113LOct 2 · 05:30O. Ziakun1.4411911113S. Miroshnychenko2.63711891
M. Hubenko10
WOct 8 · 06:00O. Ziakun3.4067130M. Hubenko1.301111153WOct 7 · 10:30D. Kuzmenko3.0089111152M. Hubenko1.36111166113LOct 7 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.36891111162O. Kurylenko3.00111189183LOct 7 · 08:30M. Hubenko2.7511612792S. Chuhai1.409111011113WOct 7 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.5361112113A. Vasylets2.381181081LOct 7 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.53115111162O. Syksa2.38311713113LOct 5 · 11:30O. Lyman3.25111175113M. Hubenko1.3357111172LOct 5 · 10:00M. Hubenko1.3361111392O. Kurylenko3.25119911113WOct 5 · 08:00O. Ziakun3.004117101M. Hubenko1.3611811123WOct 5 · 06:00S. Maliuk2.634121211102M. Hubenko1.441114108123
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