TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleh Torianyk vs Pavlo Shulhachyk 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161311118––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:15 and never touched: 72.3% is still 72.3%
Graded at full timeOleh Torianyk to win
72.3%
72.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Torianyk above · Pavlo Shulhachyk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 60 set 3, 11-8 · our read held Oleh Torianyk at 72.3%
60 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Torianyk 17–3 Pavlo Shulhachyk Pavlo Shulhachyk has won 3 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:1572.3%Our read73.4%to break even at 1.363
short by 1.1pp73.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.363 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Torianyk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
17-3 in 20
Torianyk
Correct
gap of 14 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Torianyk 1556 vs Shulhachyk 1494
Torianyk
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Torianyk 20% vs Shulhachyk 80%
Shulhachyk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Torianyk 30% vs Shulhachyk 70%
Shulhachyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Torianyk -3 · Shulhachyk +1
Torianyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% · Strong (leans Torianyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shulhachyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTorianyk 1.363 / Shulhachyk 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Torianyk)-1.1pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13260988
Torianyk1.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite71% won 99 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it94% 58 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it82% 77 of 94
Shulhachyk3.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 20 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back23% 6 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTorianyk8wins
AwayShulhachyk2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTorianyk leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTorianyk80%4 of 5
AwayShulhachyk20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Torianyk5Shulhachyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Torianyk6Shulhachyk4n = 10Torianyk took 6 of 10
S3Torianyk8Shulhachyk2n = 10Torianyk took 8 of 10
S4Torianyk5Shulhachyk2n = 7Torianyk took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTorianykShulhachykT − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.734.8+4.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTorianykShulhachykBasisWin rate · lifetime279 / 504 vs 160 / 27855.4%57.6%279 / 504 vs 160 / 278Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
TorianykTorianyk 1.36/Shulhachyk 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.3%
Torianyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Torianyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 06:00O. Torianyk44111011123P. Shulhachyk369125101
WAug 1 · 09:00O. Torianyk371113133P. Shulhachyk28611110
WJul 16 · 07:00O. Torianyk504111113113P. Shulhachyk48111341192
LJun 10 · 10:39O. Torianyk331165111P. Shulhachyk4161111133
WJun 10 · 06:00O. Torianyk331111113P. Shulhachyk166640
LJun 9 · 16:00O. Torianyk26911331P. Shulhachyk4211911113
WMay 20 · 05:00O. Torianyk43101111113P. Shulhachyk29127731
WMar 12 · 10:58O. Torianyk361111143P. Shulhachyk2787120
WMar 12 · 07:00O. Torianyk531091112113P. Shulhachyk49121171092
WMar 4 · 15:30O. Torianyk4291111113P. Shulhachyk32115791
O. Torianyk10
LOct 8 · 13:30S. Sideltsev2.751112113O. Torianyk1.4091060LOct 8 · 12:30O. Torianyk1.33711871I. Dubinin3.2511511113LSep 27 · 10:08O. Torianyk2.2576100M. Levytskii1.571111123WSep 27 · 08:30M. Levytskii1.445111181O. Torianyk2.6311813113LSep 27 · 07:30O. Torianyk1.8381411522M. Denysenko1.831112911113WSep 27 · 06:30P. Kolesnik2.63811814102O. Torianyk1.441191112123LSep 27 · 05:30O. Torianyk3.25111070O. Tiutiunnyk1.331312113LSep 26 · 17:41O. Tiutiunnyk1.361111113O. Torianyk3.006460WSep 26 · 16:30P. Kolesnik3.001111951O. Torianyk1.361371183LSep 26 · 15:00O. Torianyk1.80111310752M. Denysenko1.904111211103
P. Shulhachyk10
WOct 8 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi1.8389111152P. Shulhachyk1.83111184113LOct 8 · 12:00S. Sideltsev1.73117117113P. Shulhachyk2.0091191172WOct 5 · 17:34P. Shulhachyk1.731111113V. Simchuk2.005770WOct 5 · 16:00S. Sideltsev1.6111941182P. Shulhachyk2.20311119113WOct 5 · 14:30I. Dubinin2.005980P. Shulhachyk1.731111113WOct 5 · 13:00I. Sushko1.5391191172P. Shulhachyk2.38117117113LOct 5 · 12:00V. Simchuk2.201111113P. Shulhachyk1.612660WOct 1 · 17:08P. Kolesnik1.4013811942P. Shulhachyk2.751111711113WOct 1 · 15:30I. Dubinin1.83911891P. Shulhachyk1.8311811113LOct 1 · 14:30P. Shulhachyk2.389660P. Kolesnik1.531111113
Upcoming Matches
O. Torianyk
Nothing scheduled
P. Shulhachyk
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