TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Wojciech Urban vs Rafal Niemiec 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
101211671113111210
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
103 points played in total.
Set by set
101211671113111210
H2H Wojciech Urban 4–4 Rafal Niemiec Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Niemiec beat Urban 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Niemiec form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrban 2.10 / Niemiec 1.66
TT Elite Series · #13259694
Urban2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 209 of 518
Down 0–1, comes back18% 52 of 283
Down 0–2, comes back7% 12 of 174
Niemiec1.66
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 8
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 122 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it96% 63 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it85% 83 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeUrban4wins
AwayNiemiec4wins
6 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 6 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrban60%3 of 5
AwayNiemiec66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urban5Niemiec3n = 8Urban took 5 of 8
S2Urban4Niemiec4n = 8split evenly
S3Urban5Niemiec3n = 8Urban took 5 of 8
S4Urban4Niemiec2n = 6Urban took 4 of 6
S5Urban2Niemiec4n = 6Niemiec took 4 of 6
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away450%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricUrbanNiemiecU − NBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match45.443.6+1.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbanNiemiecBasisWin rate · lifetime829 / 1745 vs 188 / 29847.5%63.1%829 / 1745 vs 188 / 298Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
NiemiecUrban 2.10/Niemiec 1.66
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Urban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LOct 7 · 06:20W. Urban4691181172R. Niemiec50119118113
WSep 22 · 11:00W. Urban49117911113R. Niemiec4791111882
LSep 22 · 04:55W. Urban51131111882R. Niemiec541181311113
LSep 7 · 11:25W. Urban4495111182R. Niemiec44111165113
WAug 11 · 03:55W. Urban341111123R. Niemiec2459100
WAug 10 · 21:55W. Urban56971112173R. Niemiec561111910152
WJul 30 · 05:30W. Urban371112143R. Niemiec28610120
LJul 30 · 00:00W. Urban4611611992R. Niemiec46511811113
W. Urban10
LOct 7 · 12:45W. Urban1.778811101K. Adamus1.9511115123WOct 7 · 11:30W. Urban1.521411113O. Sokolowski2.3712580WOct 7 · 10:20K. Adamus2.3099140W. Urban1.551111163LOct 7 · 09:30R. Gajda1.91614118113W. Urban1.80111291182LOct 7 · 08:45W. Urban1.607711111O. Sokolowski2.2011118133WOct 7 · 07:10W. Urban1.5711116113O. Sokolowski2.25831181LOct 7 · 06:20R. Niemiec1.90119118113W. Urban1.8091181172WOct 6 · 04:40K. Kowalski3.3586111162W. Urban1.27111138113LOct 6 · 03:55P. Gumulinski1.701111113W. Urban2.008560LOct 6 · 01:30K. Adamus1.951212113W. Urban1.75101070
R. Niemiec10
WOct 7 · 13:30R. Niemiec1.52761111113O. Sokolowski2.3511117942WOct 7 · 12:20R. Niemiec1.761211113R. Gajda1.9610670WOct 7 · 10:40R. Niemiec1.387111011113O. Sokolowski2.8511512892WOct 7 · 09:05K. Adamus1.80711611112R. Niemiec1.90118115133WOct 7 · 08:20R. Gajda2.1311115452R. Niemiec1.64991111113WOct 7 · 07:30R. Niemiec1.5011711133O. Sokolowski2.358114111WOct 7 · 06:20R. Niemiec1.90119118113W. Urban1.8091181172WOct 1 · 16:20W. Glanowski2.4067100R. Niemiec1.511111123LOct 1 · 15:30W. Ptak2.35711118123R. Niemiec1.53119611102WOct 1 · 14:45R. Niemiec1.35111113113J. Nowak2.95791551
Upcoming Matches
W. Urban
Oct 8 · 03:50W. Urban2.00J. Pruszkowski1.73—Oct 8 · 04:30W. Urban2.75K. Slawinski1.40—Oct 8 · 06:05W. Urban2.20S. Szostok1.61—Oct 8 · 06:55W. Urban1.83J. Pelka1.83—Oct 8 · 07:45W. Urban1.73O. Sokolowski2.00—Oct 8 · 09:00W. Urban2.75K. Slawinski1.40—Oct 8 · 10:10W. Urban1.73O. Sokolowski2.00—Oct 8 · 11:50W. Urban1.73J. Pruszkowski2.00—Oct 8 · 13:05W. Urban1.83J. Pelka1.83—
R. Niemiec
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