TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kacper Adamus vs Rafal Niemiec 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811511911––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
811511911––––
H2H Kacper Adamus 5–2 Rafal Niemiec Rafal Niemiec has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Niemiec beat Adamus 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Niemiec form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 2.17 / Niemiec 1.62
TT Elite Series · #13260005
Adamus2.17
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 80 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back22% 19 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 45
Niemiec1.62
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 122 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it96% 63 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it85% 83 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeAdamus5wins
AwayNiemiec2wins
2 of 7 to a deciderAdamus leads 5–2, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus100%4 of 4
AwayNiemiec66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus4Niemiec3n = 7Adamus took 4 of 7
S2Adamus5Niemiec2n = 7Adamus took 5 of 7
S3Adamus3Niemiec4n = 7Niemiec took 4 of 7
S4Adamus4Niemiec0n = 4Adamus took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricAdamusNiemiecA − NBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match38.432.3+6.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusNiemiecBasisWin rate · lifetime926 / 1700 vs 188 / 29954.5%62.9%926 / 1700 vs 188 / 299Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
NiemiecAdamus 2.17/Niemiec 1.62
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
0–3
Niemiec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LOct 7 · 09:05K. Adamus46711611112R. Niemiec48118115133
WSep 1 · 12:45K. Adamus4011117113R. Niemiec34891161
WSep 1 · 10:20K. Adamus529101111113R. Niemiec4611127972
LAug 11 · 01:30K. Adamus2394100R. Niemiec341111123
WAug 10 · 19:55K. Adamus331111113R. Niemiec228590
WJul 21 · 04:20K. Adamus331111113R. Niemiec164660
WJul 20 · 18:45K. Adamus4211119113R. Niemiec26741141
K. Adamus10
WOct 7 · 13:55K. Adamus1.391111113O. Sokolowski2.809560WOct 7 · 12:45W. Urban1.778811101K. Adamus1.9511115123WOct 7 · 11:55K. Adamus1.501161111113O. Sokolowski2.4091161392LOct 7 · 10:20K. Adamus2.3099140W. Urban1.551111163LOct 7 · 09:05K. Adamus1.80711611112R. Niemiec1.90118115133WOct 7 · 07:55K. Adamus1.3591111113O. Sokolowski2.95115771LOct 7 · 06:45R. Gajda2.151113133K. Adamus1.60811110LOct 7 · 05:55K. Adamus2.088101471O. Sokolowski1.68111212113WOct 6 · 04:20K. Adamus1.551211113L. Oracz2.1510850WOct 6 · 03:05K. Adamus1.1815129123K. Kowalski4.10131011101
R. Niemiec10
LOct 7 · 14:20W. Urban2.101011713123R. Niemiec1.661261111102WOct 7 · 13:30R. Niemiec1.52761111113O. Sokolowski2.3511117942WOct 7 · 12:20R. Niemiec1.761211113R. Gajda1.9610670WOct 7 · 10:40R. Niemiec1.387111011113O. Sokolowski2.8511512892WOct 7 · 09:05K. Adamus1.80711611112R. Niemiec1.90118115133WOct 7 · 08:20R. Gajda2.1311115452R. Niemiec1.64991111113WOct 7 · 07:30R. Niemiec1.5011711133O. Sokolowski2.358114111WOct 7 · 06:20R. Niemiec1.90119118113W. Urban1.8091181172WOct 1 · 16:20W. Glanowski2.4067100R. Niemiec1.511111123LOct 1 · 15:30W. Ptak2.35711118123R. Niemiec1.53119611102
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