TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Dominik Solilo vs Bartosz Czerwinski 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9116111210117511
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:36 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartosz Czerwinski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
9116111210117511
H2H Dominik Solilo 10–5 Bartosz Czerwinski Bartosz Czerwinski has won 5 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:3654.0%Our read52.6%to break even at 1.90
clears by 1.4pp52.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.90 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Solilo
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
10-5 in 15
Solilo
Wrong
gap of 5 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Solilo 1507 vs Czerwinski 1509
Czerwinski
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Solilo 60% vs Czerwinski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Solilo 30% vs Czerwinski 50%
Czerwinski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Solilo +1 · Czerwinski +3
Czerwinski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Czerwinski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSolilo 1.80 / Czerwinski 1.90
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Czerwinski)+1.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13259649
Solilo1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 173 of 271
Up 2–0, closes it92% 88 of 96
Up 1–0, closes it79% 128 of 162
Czerwinski1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 39 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back26% 15 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSolilo7wins
AwayCzerwinski3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSolilo leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSolilo60%3 of 5
AwayCzerwinski25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Solilo5Czerwinski4n = 9Solilo took 5 of 9
S2Solilo4Czerwinski5n = 9Czerwinski took 5 of 9
S3Solilo5Czerwinski4n = 9Solilo took 5 of 9
S4Solilo4Czerwinski3n = 7Solilo took 4 of 7
S5Solilo3Czerwinski1n = 4Solilo took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSoliloCzerwinskiS − CBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match39.336.4+2.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSoliloCzerwinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime290 / 593 vs 487 / 101048.9%48.2%290 / 593 vs 487 / 1010Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
CzerwinskiSolilo 1.80/Czerwinski 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Czerwinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Czerwinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WOct 6 · 14:20D. Solilo351111133B. Czerwinski2999110
WSep 28 · 11:00D. Solilo48381111153B. Czerwinski45111155132
LSep 22 · 13:30D. Solilo27117361B. Czerwinski4291111113
LSep 21 · 14:20D. Solilo41111151042B. Czerwinski44551112113
WSep 10 · 13:30D. Solilo47591111113B. Czerwinski4311118762
WSep 9 · 06:00D. Solilo4181111113B. Czerwinski30115861
WAug 28 · 07:40D. Solilo4211119113B. Czerwinski23631131
LAug 26 · 03:00D. Solilo25101050B. Czerwinski351212113
WJul 10 · 06:25D. Solilo48117118113B. Czerwinski3751141162
D. Solilo10
WOct 7 · 13:05D. Solilo1.651110113113R. Stapor2.0561271162LOct 7 · 11:50D. Solilo1.801211111152M. Kukawka1.85146813113WOct 7 · 10:10D. Solilo2.22511811113K. Sulkowski1.5911711462LOct 7 · 09:00D. Solilo1.83851151M. Minda1.8611117113WOct 6 · 14:20D. Solilo1.621111133B. Czerwinski2.1599110LOct 6 · 12:40A. Sobel1.7011116113D. Solilo1.95851141LOct 6 · 11:50R. Stapor2.2061111113D. Solilo1.60116661LOct 6 · 11:00D. Solilo2.2081290M. Kolek1.571114113LOct 6 · 09:50D. Solilo1.9011611392B. Sulkowski1.76911511113LOct 5 · 14:20M. Kolek1.9014119113D. Solilo1.751251121
B. Czerwinski10
WOct 7 · 13:30B. Czerwinski1.631111113M. Minda2.158770WOct 7 · 12:15R. Stapor2.2916870B. Czerwinski1.561811113WOct 7 · 11:00M. Kukawka2.251311771B. Czerwinski1.5715511113LOct 7 · 09:25K. Sulkowski3.1511115113B. Czerwinski1.30971181LOct 6 · 14:20D. Solilo1.621111133B. Czerwinski2.1599110LOct 6 · 13:30M. Kolek1.6011119113B. Czerwinski2.20871191WOct 6 · 11:25A. Sobel1.8012611772B. Czerwinski1.851011611113WOct 6 · 10:35B. Sulkowski2.424980B. Czerwinski1.501111113LOct 6 · 09:00R. Stapor2.371115113B. Czerwinski1.5291350LOct 2 · 14:20J. Zochniak2.351071111113B. Czerwinski1.5012118572
Upcoming Matches
D. Solilo
Nothing scheduled
B. Czerwinski
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