TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Milosz Kukawka vs Bartosz Czerwinski 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1315115711711––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:54 and never touched: 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeBartosz Czerwinski to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
1315115711711––
H2H Milosz Kukawka 0–1 Bartosz Czerwinski Milosz Kukawka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:5459.7%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.57
short by 4.0pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.57 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Czerwinski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kukawka 1414 vs Czerwinski 1473
Czerwinski
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kukawka 40% vs Czerwinski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kukawka 40% vs Czerwinski 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kukawka -2 · Czerwinski -3
Czerwinski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Czerwinski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Czerwinski form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKukawka 2.25 / Czerwinski 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Czerwinski)-4.0pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13258621
Kukawka2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 51 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back33% 19 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back14% 4 of 29
Czerwinski1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite63% won 117 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it96% 52 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it83% 83 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKukawka0wins
AwayCzerwinski1wins
Czerwinski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricKukawkaCzerwinskiK − CBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match18.033.0−15.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKukawkaCzerwinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime520 / 840 vs 484 / 100761.9%48.1%520 / 840 vs 484 / 1007Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
CzerwinskiKukawka 2.25/Czerwinski 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Czerwinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Czerwinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 29 · 03:25M. Kukawka183780B. Czerwinski331111113
M. Kukawka10
LOct 7 · 09:50M. Kukawka1.785117141R. Stapor1.9311911163LOct 6 · 08:10M. Kukawka1.75851191J. Lamperski1.9511117113WOct 6 · 06:30D. Wrobel1.6871112942M. Kukawka2.081151011113WOct 6 · 05:40A. Sobel2.136490M. Kukawka1.641111113LOct 6 · 04:55M. Kukawka1.9561160B. Warpas1.751113113WOct 6 · 03:50M. Kukawka1.271111113M. Lukaszewski3.306760WOct 5 · 00:35M. Kukawka2.201111113J. Nadolny1.613590LOct 4 · 23:45B. Sulkowski2.1011611113M. Kukawka1.67311791LOct 4 · 22:35M. Kukawka2.384290L. Pietraszko1.531111113LOct 4 · 21:50S. Brud1.831113113M. Kukawka1.8351160
B. Czerwinski10
LOct 7 · 09:25K. Sulkowski3.1511115113B. Czerwinski1.30971181LOct 6 · 14:20D. Solilo1.621111133B. Czerwinski2.1599110LOct 6 · 13:30M. Kolek1.6011119113B. Czerwinski2.20871191WOct 6 · 11:25A. Sobel1.8012611772B. Czerwinski1.851011611113WOct 6 · 10:35B. Sulkowski2.424980B. Czerwinski1.501111113LOct 6 · 09:00R. Stapor2.371115113B. Czerwinski1.5291350LOct 2 · 14:20J. Zochniak2.351071111113B. Czerwinski1.5012118572LOct 2 · 13:30K. Kufel1.701113113B. Czerwinski2.0561190WOct 2 · 11:25B. Warpas3.301113781B. Czerwinski1.2781511113LOct 2 · 10:35J. Przewlocki1.931181111163B. Czerwinski1.79611713142
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