TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Frantisek Dvorak vs Tomas Rein 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411511911––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:34 and never touched: 76.7% is still 76.7%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Dvorak to win
76.7%
76.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFrantisek Dvorak above · Tomas Rein below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 51 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Frantisek Dvorak at 76.7%
51 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Dvorak 45–23 Tomas Rein Tomas Rein has won 23 of their 68 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:3476.7%Our read76.9%to break even at 1.30
short by 0.2pp76.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.30 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Dvorak
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
45-23 in 68
Dvorak
Wrong
gap of 22 in 68, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dvorak 1574 vs Rein 1378
Dvorak
Wrong
both rated, 196 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dvorak 60% vs Rein 40%
Dvorak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dvorak 70% vs Rein 30%
Dvorak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dvorak +2 · Rein +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% · Strong (leans Dvorak) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rein form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDvorak 1.30 / Rein 3.40
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Dvorak)-0.2pp
TT Cup · #13258278
Dvorak1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 45 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it82% 32 of 39
Rein3.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 101 of 305
Down 0–1, comes back20% 39 of 198
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDvorak7wins
AwayRein3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDvorak leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDvorak87.5%7 of 8
AwayReinn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dvorak8Rein2n = 10Dvorak took 8 of 10
S2Dvorak9Rein1n = 10Dvorak took 9 of 10
S3Dvorak7Rein3n = 10Dvorak took 7 of 10
S4Dvorak1Rein4n = 5Rein took 4 of 5
S5Dvorak1Rein2n = 3Rein took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDvorakReinD − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.929.2+8.7per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDvorakReinBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 292 vs 376 / 84856.2%44.3%164 / 292 vs 376 / 848Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DvorakDvorak 1.30/Rein 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.7%
Dvorak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rein won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 30 · 12:50F. Dvorak48121213652T. Rein5714101111113
WSep 25 · 12:50F. Dvorak4211119113T. Rein25331181
LSep 23 · 12:20F. Dvorak4111116852T. Rein39421111113
WSep 16 · 12:25F. Dvorak331111113T. Rein143560
WSep 10 · 07:55F. Dvorak331111113T. Rein227780
WAug 26 · 12:55F. Dvorak331111113T. Rein165920
WAug 20 · 10:55F. Dvorak361111143T. Rein2989120
WAug 13 · 14:03F. Dvorak48118117113T. Rein3981121172
LAug 13 · 12:20F. Dvorak29111891T. Rein3411111113
WAug 5 · 12:55F. Dvorak361411113T. Rein1712140
F. Dvorak10
WOct 7 · 10:20T. Cerveny Jr2.6361151592F. Dvorak1.441181113113WSep 30 · 13:33F. Dvorak1.2812148123S. Matousch3.50101211101LSep 30 · 12:50T. Rein3.4014101111113F. Dvorak1.30121213652WSep 30 · 11:50F. Dvorak1.3091111113S. Matousch3.40118681LSep 30 · 10:20T. Cerveny Jr2.7551111113F. Dvorak1.40117781LSep 25 · 13:55F. Dvorak1.671173101S. Holik2.1071111123WSep 25 · 12:50F. Dvorak1.3011119113T. Rein3.40331181WSep 25 · 11:20T. Cerveny Jr2.636740F. Dvorak1.441111113WSep 25 · 10:50S. Holik1.80691151F. Dvorak1.9111116113WSep 23 · 13:50F. Dvorak1.8081111113O. Knazik1.90114431
T. Rein10
WOct 7 · 10:50T. Rein1.5011911113D. Vojna2.50211951LOct 5 · 21:33T. Rein2.63112791J. Cousin1.4451111113WOct 5 · 20:20T. Rein2.381113712113J. Cousin1.53515111092LOct 5 · 19:20T. Rein2.754620D. Zelezny1.401111113LOct 5 · 18:20T. Rein2.506490J. Dohnal1.501111113LOct 4 · 13:20T. Rein2.008880J. Cousin1.731111113LOct 4 · 12:20T. Rein2.5091161172J. Dohnal1.50116118113WOct 4 · 11:20T. Rein2.63161111113J. Cousin1.441471341WSep 30 · 12:50T. Rein3.4014101111113F. Dvorak1.30121213652LSep 25 · 12:50F. Dvorak1.3011119113T. Rein3.40331181
Upcoming Matches
F. Dvorak
T. Rein
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