TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Maksymilian Rus vs Kamil Smolka 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1188111191113118
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
101 points played in total.
Set by set
1188111191113118
H2H Maksymilian Rus 2–4 Kamil Smolka Maksymilian Rus has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Smolka beat Rus 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rus form (0%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRus 1.74 / Smolka 2.00
TT Elite Series · #13255040
Rus1.74
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite29% won 4 of 14
Smolka2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog48% won 35 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back33% 12 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeRus2wins
AwaySmolka4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderSmolka leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRusn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySmolka75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rus2Smolka4n = 6Smolka took 4 of 6
S2Rus2Smolka4n = 6Smolka took 4 of 6
S3Rus2Smolka4n = 6Smolka took 4 of 6
S4Rus0Smolka4n = 4Smolka took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricRusSmolkaR − SBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match37.542.2−4.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRusSmolkaBasisWin rate · lifetime138 / 434 vs 231 / 44731.8%51.7%138 / 434 vs 231 / 447Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
RusRus 1.74/Smolka 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Rus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WOct 6 · 15:30M. Rus521181111113K. Smolka4981191382
LOct 6 · 09:30M. Rus31611951K. Smolka4211911113
WDec 9 · 13:20M. Rus538111210123K. Smolka491161012102
LDec 9 · 09:20M. Rus2696110K. Smolka351111133
LDec 2 · 16:05M. Rus361161091K. Smolka4391112113
LDec 2 · 10:05M. Rus27107100K. Smolka351211123
M. Rus10
LOct 6 · 14:20M. Rus2.2511911121B. Madej1.5513118143LOct 6 · 12:45M. Rus2.704670S. Juzek1.411111113LOct 6 · 11:30M. Rus3.5291260K. Hetnar1.261114113LOct 6 · 10:20S. Juzek1.7591114113M. Rus1.971191261LOct 6 · 09:30K. Smolka1.3011911113M. Rus3.20611951WOct 6 · 08:45M. Rus1.87101111113M. Jozefiak1.84124691LOct 6 · 07:10M. Rus4.41811481K. Hetnar1.1711811113WOct 6 · 06:20B. Madej1.8551271182M. Rus1.861110115113WSep 30 · 17:05M. Rus1.901111113W. Buczynski1.759350LSep 30 · 15:30M. Rus2.50911914102R. Gajda1.451161112123
K. Smolka10
WOct 6 · 14:45K. Smolka1.67118113113M. Jozefiak2.1051171152WOct 6 · 13:10K. Smolka2.25111110123K. Hetnar1.553412101LOct 6 · 12:20B. Madej2.7091211143K. Smolka1.4111107121WOct 6 · 09:30K. Smolka1.3011911113M. Rus3.20611951LOct 6 · 08:20K. Smolka1.42137831B. Madej2.60111111113WOct 6 · 06:45K. Smolka1.531111113S. Juzek2.358990LOct 6 · 05:30K. Smolka2.10813771K. Hetnar1.65111111113WAug 26 · 16:30S. Juzek2.25511881K. Smolka1.5711711113LAug 26 · 15:30R. Skotniczny1.431161111113K. Smolka2.5541113662WAug 26 · 14:45K. Smolka1.6611119113R. Gajda2.05961171
Upcoming Matches
M. Rus
Nothing scheduled
K. Smolka
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