TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Michal Olbrycht vs Piotr Chodorski 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511411611––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:47 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Olbrycht to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
48 points played in total.
Set by set
511411611––––
H2H Michal Olbrycht 0–2 Piotr Chodorski Michal Olbrycht has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:4754.0%Our read40.0%to break even at 2.50
clears by 14.0pp40.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 2.50 they are the same number)
What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.49 (63%)
Chodorski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Olbrycht 1710 vs Chodorski 1813
Chodorski
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Olbrycht 60% vs Chodorski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Olbrycht 60% vs Chodorski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Olbrycht -2 · Chodorski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Olbrycht) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Olbrycht form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOlbrycht 2.50 / Chodorski 1.49
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Olbrycht)+14.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13253021
Olbrycht2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 87 of 227
Down 0–1, comes back20% 28 of 137
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 73
Chodorski1.49
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeOlbrycht0wins
AwayChodorski2wins
Chodorski leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away2
These 2 meetings
MetricOlbrychtChodorskiO − CBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match20.033.0−13.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOlbrychtChodorskiBasisWin rate · lifetime391 / 812 vs 205 / 40048.2%51.3%391 / 812 vs 205 / 400Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
OlbrychtOlbrycht 2.50/Chodorski 1.49
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Olbrycht · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Chodorski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LOct 6 · 06:50M. Olbrycht155460P. Chodorski331111113
LJan 1 · 16:30M. Olbrycht258980P. Chodorski331111113
M. Olbrycht10
LOct 6 · 05:35M. Olbrycht2.5581211101J. Kuzmicz1.4211149123LOct 6 · 04:00M. Olbrycht1.81114131052K. Wloczko1.904111112113WOct 6 · 03:00M. Olbrycht1.7511713113G. Poliniewicz1.956111151WOct 5 · 14:35M. Malachowski1.8011961382M. Olbrycht1.909111111113WOct 5 · 13:25M. Olbrycht1.651211113D. Kostal2.0510470WOct 5 · 12:10M. Sklensky1.576940M. Olbrycht2.201111113WOct 5 · 10:55M. Rutkowski1.8099100M. Olbrycht1.911111123LOct 5 · 09:20G. Poliniewicz1.821111910113M. Olbrycht1.8898111252WOct 5 · 07:40D. Kostal2.15101060M. Olbrycht1.601212113LOct 5 · 06:50G. Poliniewicz1.9111811113M. Olbrycht1.78911471
P. Chodorski10
WOct 6 · 07:40K. Wloczko2.50711311P. Chodorski1.4511911113WOct 6 · 06:00P. Chodorski1.35812711113M. Malachowski2.85111011852WOct 6 · 04:25P. Chodorski1.6011116113G. Poliniewicz2.15571191LOct 6 · 03:40J. Kuzmicz2.101011911113P. Chodorski1.6012411642LSep 29 · 14:10P. Chodorski1.9110850J. Zandecki1.801211113WSep 29 · 12:30G. Felkel1.5011118101P. Chodorski2.5013811123WSep 29 · 11:40A. Wiecek1.831081191P. Chodorski1.8312118113WSep 29 · 10:50P. Chodorski2.1011711113P. David1.67911871LSep 29 · 09:40P. Chodorski2.001111117102J. Kosowski1.73132611123LSep 29 · 07:45P. Chodorski1.83811991A. Wiecek1.8311911113
Upcoming Matches
M. Olbrycht
P. Chodorski
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.