TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Piotr Chodorski vs Jan Zandecki 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012811511––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:07 and never touched: 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeJan Zandecki to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Jan Zandecki @ 1.80 · Won
How it is goingPiotr Chodorski above · Jan Zandecki below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 57 set 3, 5-11 · our read held Jan Zandecki at 55.9%
57 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Chodorski 5–19 Jan Zandecki Piotr Chodorski has won 5 of their 24 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 13:07What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Zandecki
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-19 in 24
Zandecki
Correct
gap of 14 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chodorski 1804 vs Zandecki 1994
Zandecki
Correct
both rated, 191 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chodorski 60% vs Zandecki 80%
Zandecki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chodorski 40% vs Zandecki 70%
Zandecki
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chodorski +3 · Zandecki +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Zandecki) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zandecki form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChodorski 1.91 / Zandecki 1.80
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Zandecki)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13210145
Chodorski1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Zandecki1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 118 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it96% 50 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it77% 84 of 109
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChodorski2wins
AwayZandecki8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZandecki leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChodorski33.3%1 of 3
AwayZandecki85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chodorski3Zandecki7n = 10Zandecki took 7 of 10
S2Chodorski5Zandecki5n = 10split evenly
S3Chodorski5Zandecki5n = 10split evenly
S4Chodorski3Zandecki6n = 9Zandecki took 6 of 9
S5Chodorski0Zandecki3n = 3Zandecki took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricChodorskiZandeckiC − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.639.0−2.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChodorskiZandeckiBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 395 vs 475 / 84951.1%56%202 / 395 vs 475 / 849Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZandeckiChodorski 1.91/Zandecki 1.80
Hit
What we said
55.9%
Zandecki · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Jan Zandecki @ 1.80 · Won
What happened
0–3
Zandecki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 29 · 05:15P. Chodorski4561111982J. Zandecki49117911113
LFeb 22 · 08:40P. Chodorski3761141152J. Zandecki46117116113
LFeb 12 · 12:35P. Chodorski34811781J. Zandecki4011711113
WFeb 12 · 09:25P. Chodorski3911611113J. Zandecki32511971
LJan 3 · 14:15P. Chodorski366101191J. Zandecki3711123113
WJan 3 · 05:20P. Chodorski4291111113J. Zandecki31116861
LDec 24 · 08:45P. Chodorski31117671J. Zandecki3631111113
LDec 23 · 11:25P. Chodorski207940J. Zandecki331111113
LNov 27 · 07:15P. Chodorski4911912982J. Zandecki518111011113
LOct 10 · 06:15P. Chodorski33911851J. Zandecki3511211113
P. Chodorski10
WSep 29 · 12:30G. Felkel1.5011118101P. Chodorski2.5013811123WSep 29 · 11:40A. Wiecek1.831081191P. Chodorski1.8312118113WSep 29 · 10:50P. Chodorski2.1011711113P. David1.67911871LSep 29 · 09:40P. Chodorski2.001111117102J. Kosowski1.73132611123LSep 29 · 07:45P. Chodorski1.83811991A. Wiecek1.8311911113LSep 29 · 06:30P. Chodorski2.109101171P. David1.6711126113LSep 29 · 05:15P. Chodorski1.9161111982J. Zandecki1.80117911113WSep 29 · 04:10G. Felkel1.67105100P. Chodorski2.101211123LSep 29 · 03:25P. Chodorski2.00119861J. Kosowski1.7371111113LSep 28 · 14:35P. Chodorski2.386811101J. Kosowski1.5311117123
J. Zandecki10
WSep 29 · 13:20P. David1.6710990J. Zandecki2.101211113WSep 29 · 11:15G. Felkel1.5381141182J. Zandecki2.38119115113WSep 29 · 10:25J. Kosowski2.0089120J. Zandecki1.731111143WSep 29 · 09:00A. Wiecek2.00613641J. Zandecki1.73111111113LSep 29 · 08:05P. David1.5313711113J. Zandecki2.381111891LSep 29 · 07:20J. Kosowski1.671311113J. Zandecki2.1011970WSep 29 · 05:15P. Chodorski1.9161111982J. Zandecki1.80117911113WSep 29 · 04:30A. Wiecek1.8394120J. Zandecki1.831111143WSep 29 · 03:00G. Felkel1.53118101152J. Zandecki2.38211122113LSep 24 · 14:10S. Kolasa1.9112118133J. Zandecki1.8010911111
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