TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Petr David vs Jan Zandecki 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012911911––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:17 and never touched: 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timePetr David to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr David above · Jan Zandecki below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 62 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Petr David at 55.8%
62 points played in total.
H2H Petr David 28–24 Jan Zandecki Jan Zandecki has won 24 of their 52 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
David beat Zandecki 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:17What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
David
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
28-24 in 52
David
Wrong
gap of 4 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
David 1954 vs Zandecki 1981
Zandecki
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
David 60% vs Zandecki 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
David 60% vs Zandecki 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
David -2 · Zandecki +3
Zandecki
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans David) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zandecki form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDavid 1.67 / Zandecki 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (David)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13210177
David1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 233 of 349
Up 2–0, closes it97% 119 of 123
Up 1–0, closes it83% 174 of 211
Zandecki2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 72 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back30% 23 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDavid5wins
AwayZandecki5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDavid66.7%4 of 6
AwayZandecki75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1David6Zandecki4n = 10David took 6 of 10
S2David4Zandecki6n = 10Zandecki took 6 of 10
S3David5Zandecki5n = 10split evenly
S4David5Zandecki3n = 8David took 5 of 8
S5David1Zandecki2n = 3Zandecki took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDavidZandeckiD − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.338.0+0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDavidZandeckiBasisWin rate · lifetime650 / 982 vs 474 / 84866.2%55.9%650 / 982 vs 474 / 848Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DavidDavid 1.67/Zandecki 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
David · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zandecki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 29 · 08:05P. David4213711113J. Zandecki391111891
LSep 24 · 09:00P. David331151161J. Zandecki4381113113
WSep 24 · 04:30P. David3811511113J. Zandecki34911681
LSep 17 · 10:00P. David27101070J. Zandecki351212113
LSep 17 · 05:40P. David4799111262J. Zandecki501111710113
WAug 5 · 09:20P. David49811118113J. Zandecki4011741172
LAug 5 · 06:55P. David4471171182J. Zandecki43117113113
WJun 30 · 12:30P. David331111113J. Zandecki218670
WJun 30 · 08:30P. David3711114113J. Zandecki36971191
LApr 16 · 14:30P. David33114991J. Zandecki3961111113
P. David10
LSep 29 · 12:05J. Kosowski2.10971111113P. David1.6711119892LSep 29 · 10:50P. Chodorski2.1011711113P. David1.67911871WSep 29 · 09:20G. Felkel2.25712931P. David1.57111011113WSep 29 · 08:05P. David1.5313711113J. Zandecki2.381111891WSep 29 · 06:30P. Chodorski2.109101171P. David1.6711126113WSep 29 · 05:40G. Felkel2.639470P. David1.441111113LSep 29 · 04:55P. David1.918131161J. Kosowski1.8011155113WSep 29 · 03:45P. David1.611311113A. Wiecek2.2011770LSep 25 · 15:25P. David1.363770K. Kolodziej3.001111113WSep 25 · 13:45K. Wloczko3.5081311101P. David1.2811159123
J. Zandecki10
WSep 29 · 14:10P. Chodorski1.9110850J. Zandecki1.801211113WSep 29 · 11:15G. Felkel1.5381141182J. Zandecki2.38119115113WSep 29 · 10:25J. Kosowski2.0089120J. Zandecki1.731111143WSep 29 · 09:00A. Wiecek2.00613641J. Zandecki1.73111111113LSep 29 · 08:05P. David1.5313711113J. Zandecki2.381111891LSep 29 · 07:20J. Kosowski1.671311113J. Zandecki2.1011970WSep 29 · 05:15P. Chodorski1.9161111982J. Zandecki1.80117911113WSep 29 · 04:30A. Wiecek1.8394120J. Zandecki1.831111143WSep 29 · 03:00G. Felkel1.53118101152J. Zandecki2.38211122113LSep 24 · 14:10S. Kolasa1.9112118133J. Zandecki1.8010911111
Upcoming Matches
P. David
Sep 30 · 03:25P. David1.30K. Wloczko3.40—Sep 30 · 04:55P. David1.67A. Grela2.10—Sep 30 · 06:05P. David1.61M. Jadczyk2.20—Sep 30 · 07:20P. David1.53M. Miastowski2.38—Sep 30 · 08:30P. David1.73A. Wiecek2.00—Sep 30 · 09:40P. David1.61M. Jadczyk2.20—Sep 30 · 10:50P. David1.36J. Kuzmicz3.00—Sep 30 · 11:40P. David1.67A. Grela2.10—Sep 30 · 12:30P. David1.73A. Wiecek2.00—Sep 30 · 14:10P. David1.53M. Miastowski2.38—
J. Zandecki
Nothing scheduled
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