TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vitalii Sydorenko vs Artem Azarov 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181121210––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:11 and never touched: 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeVitalii Sydorenko to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Vitalii Sydorenko @ 1.73 · Won
How it is goingVitalii Sydorenko above · Artem Azarov below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 54 set 3, 12-10 · our read held Vitalii Sydorenko at 56.9%
54 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Sydorenko 4–3 Artem Azarov Artem Azarov has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:1156.9%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 5.0pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sydorenko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorenko 1315 vs Azarov 1223
Sydorenko
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorenko 60% vs Azarov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorenko 30% vs Azarov 60%
Azarov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorenko +1 · Azarov +3
Azarov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Sydorenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Azarov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorenko 1.615 / Azarov 2.20
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Sydorenko)-5.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13251176
Sydorenko1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Oct 01)
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite73% won 27 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it78% 21 of 27
Azarov2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 13 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back14% 4 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSydorenko4wins
AwayAzarov3wins
3 of 7 to a deciderSydorenko leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorenko66.7%2 of 3
AwayAzarov50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorenko3Azarov4n = 7Azarov took 4 of 7
S2Sydorenko3Azarov4n = 7Azarov took 4 of 7
S3Sydorenko3Azarov4n = 7Azarov took 4 of 7
S4Sydorenko4Azarov2n = 6Sydorenko took 4 of 6
S5Sydorenko2Azarov1n = 3Sydorenko took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricSydorenkoAzarovS − ABasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match39.739.9−0.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorenkoAzarovBasisWin rate · lifetime256 / 582 vs 23 / 6344%36.5%256 / 582 vs 23 / 63Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SydorenkoSydorenko 1.61/Azarov 2.20
Hit
What we said
56.9%
Sydorenko · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Vitalii Sydorenko @ 1.73 · Won
What happened
3–0
Sydorenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 25 · 16:35V. Sydorenko4181111113A. Azarov29115761
WSep 24 · 12:35V. Sydorenko511210711113A. Azarov50101211892
WSep 17 · 14:05V. Sydorenko4181111113A. Azarov34119591
LSep 11 · 18:05V. Sydorenko28681131A. Azarov4111118113
WSep 3 · 15:35V. Sydorenko501110711113A. Azarov4051211842
LAug 27 · 13:25V. Sydorenko4312114972A. Azarov521091111113
LAug 26 · 13:05V. Sydorenko248880A. Azarov331111113
V. Sydorenko10
WOct 6 · 18:35V. Sydorenko1.501111113R. Serhyenko2.505970WOct 6 · 17:05V. Sydorenko1.80811311113Y. Bielokon1.9111311562LOct 6 · 15:35V. Sydorenko2.7551113101V. Slabyshev1.4011915123WOct 6 · 14:05V. Sydorenko2.20121013143D. Boltenkov1.61101211121WOct 1 · 19:25V. Sydorenko1.801111113Y. Bielokon1.916640LOct 1 · 17:55V. Sydorenko1.67810120V. Husiev2.101112143WOct 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko2.101111123V. Chumak1.6768100WOct 1 · 14:55V. Sydorenko2.20311119113D. Boltenkov1.6111851192LOct 1 · 13:25V. Sydorenko2.50813811102V. Slabyshev1.501111119123LSep 29 · 19:05V. Sharpai1.251110119113V. Sydorenko3.7551281142
A. Azarov10
WOct 6 · 19:05Y. Bielokon1.839970A. Azarov1.831111113LOct 6 · 18:05D. Boltenkov1.2511713123A. Azarov3.7551111101WOct 6 · 16:35R. Serhyenko1.61101070A. Azarov2.201212113LOct 6 · 14:35V. Slabyshev1.2591111113A. Azarov3.75117931WOct 5 · 19:35A. Azarov1.4491111113H. Buianover2.63112831WOct 5 · 17:35V. Lukianevych2.387114161A. Azarov1.5311911183WOct 5 · 15:35M. Karelov2.251011111012A. Azarov1.57128412113LOct 5 · 14:35A. Azarov2.00961141R. Serhyenko1.7311119113LOct 5 · 13:35V. Reva1.8311118143A. Azarov1.837611121WOct 1 · 19:35H. Buianover2.25101111992A. Azarov1.57128411113
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