TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vitalii Sydorenko vs Vitalii Husiev 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
81110121214––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:49 and never touched: 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeVitalii Sydorenko to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Vitalii Sydorenko @ 1.67 · Lost
How it is goingVitalii Sydorenko above · Vitalii Husiev below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 67 set 3, 12-14 · our read held Vitalii Sydorenko at 57.4%
67 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Sydorenko 38–20 Vitalii Husiev Vitalii Husiev has won 20 of their 58 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 16:4957.4%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 2.6pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sydorenko
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
38-20 in 58
Sydorenko
Wrong
gap of 18 in 58, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorenko 1321 vs Husiev 1209
Sydorenko
Wrong
both rated, 112 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorenko 40% vs Husiev 0%
Sydorenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorenko 40% vs Husiev 20%
Sydorenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorenko +2 · Husiev -8
Husiev
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Sydorenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Husiev form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorenko 1.666 / Husiev 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Sydorenko)-2.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13224013
Sydorenko1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite74% won 26 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it77% 20 of 26
Husiev2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 8
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 39 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back25% 20 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorenko7wins
AwayHusiev3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSydorenko leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorenko66.7%4 of 6
AwayHusiev25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorenko6Husiev4n = 10Sydorenko took 6 of 10
S2Sydorenko5Husiev5n = 10split evenly
S3Sydorenko5Husiev5n = 10split evenly
S4Sydorenko6Husiev2n = 8Sydorenko took 6 of 8
S5Sydorenko3Husiev2n = 5Sydorenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorenkoHusievS − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match44.240.5+3.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorenkoHusievBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 580 vs 189 / 50344%37.6%255 / 580 vs 189 / 503Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SydorenkoSydorenko 1.67/Husiev 2.10
Miss
What we said
57.4%
Sydorenko · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Vitalii Sydorenko @ 1.67 · Lost
What happened
0–3
Husiev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 17:35V. Sydorenko5512111011113V. Husiev46101312472
WJul 12 · 13:05V. Sydorenko4211911113V. Husiev30411871
WJul 9 · 18:05V. Sydorenko361114113V. Husiev2681260
WJun 10 · 12:35V. Sydorenko557111012153V. Husiev521161210132
WJun 9 · 18:05V. Sydorenko4011115133V. Husiev345711111
LJun 2 · 14:05V. Sydorenko511181111102V. Husiev53811913123
WMay 27 · 18:35V. Sydorenko49151112113V. Husiev431791071
LMay 26 · 16:05V. Sydorenko44111011482V. Husiev49612911113
WMay 21 · 13:05V. Sydorenko46511711123V. Husiev39114113102
LMay 18 · 16:35V. Sydorenko247980V. Husiev331111113
V. Sydorenko10
WOct 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko2.101111123V. Chumak1.6768100WOct 1 · 14:55V. Sydorenko2.20311119113D. Boltenkov1.6111851192LOct 1 · 13:25V. Sydorenko2.50813811102V. Slabyshev1.501111119123LSep 29 · 19:05V. Sharpai1.251110119113V. Sydorenko3.7551281142LSep 29 · 18:05I. Yelfimov1.501112113V. Sydorenko2.5091060LSep 29 · 16:35V. Kaganovych1.441111133V. Sydorenko2.6359110LSep 29 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.501111133V. Sydorenko2.5058110LSep 29 · 12:35A. Lifanov1.401112113V. Sydorenko2.7571090WSep 25 · 18:35D. Boltenkov1.501571071V. Sydorenko2.50131112113WSep 25 · 17:35V. Sydorenko1.7312111011113V. Husiev2.00101312472
V. Husiev10
LOct 1 · 16:55V. Husiev2.5011650D. Boltenkov1.501311113LOct 1 · 15:55Y. Bielokon1.5751111113V. Husiev2.25118691LOct 1 · 14:25V. Husiev2.7511931162V. Chumak1.40911119113LSep 25 · 19:35V. Husiev4.00781171V. Kaganovych1.2211115113LSep 25 · 17:35V. Sydorenko1.7312111011113V. Husiev2.00101312472LSep 25 · 15:35D. Boltenkov1.831112113V. Husiev1.8391090LSep 25 · 14:35V. Husiev1.571151271A. Azarov2.25131110113LSep 25 · 13:35V. Chumak1.40118911113V. Husiev2.7571111992WAug 16 · 19:25V. Husiev1.6711811113A. Azarov2.10911951WAug 16 · 17:55V. Husiev2.25811511113I. Elfemov1.5711211752
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