TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Lifanov vs Vitalii Sydorenko 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171210119––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:25 and never touched: 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timeAndrii Lifanov to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Lifanov above · Vitalii Sydorenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 60 set 3, 11-9 · our read held Andrii Lifanov at 69.5%
60 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Lifanov 21–14 Vitalii Sydorenko Vitalii Sydorenko has won 14 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:25What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Lifanov
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
21-14 in 35
Lifanov
Correct
gap of 7 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lifanov 1494 vs Sydorenko 1333
Lifanov
Correct
both rated, 161 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lifanov 60% vs Sydorenko 80%
Sydorenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lifanov 60% vs Sydorenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lifanov -2 · Sydorenko +3
Sydorenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% · Clear lean (leans Lifanov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLifanov 1.40 / Sydorenko 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Lifanov)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13213254
Lifanov1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 114 of 184
Up 2–0, closes it97% 57 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it85% 87 of 103
Sydorenko2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 25)
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 86 of 222
Down 0–1, comes back24% 32 of 133
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLifanov6wins
AwaySydorenko4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLifanov leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLifanov100%4 of 4
AwaySydorenko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lifanov4Sydorenko6n = 10Sydorenko took 6 of 10
S2Lifanov6Sydorenko4n = 10Lifanov took 6 of 10
S3Lifanov3Sydorenko7n = 10Sydorenko took 7 of 10
S4Lifanov6Sydorenko0n = 6Lifanov took 6 of 6
S5Lifanov3Sydorenko2n = 5Lifanov took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLifanovSydorenkoL − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.638.3+1.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLifanovSydorenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime226 / 402 vs 254 / 57856.2%43.9%226 / 402 vs 254 / 578Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LifanovLifanov 1.40/Sydorenko 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Lifanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lifanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 29 · 12:35A. Lifanov341112113V. Sydorenko2671090
WSep 1 · 17:55A. Lifanov4211119113V. Sydorenko30671161
WAug 26 · 19:35A. Lifanov47713511113V. Sydorenko47111111592
LAug 3 · 16:05A. Lifanov204970V. Sydorenko331111113
LJul 29 · 16:35A. Lifanov2681260V. Sydorenko361114113
LJul 14 · 17:25A. Lifanov46101161182V. Sydorenko47124119113
WJun 16 · 12:35A. Lifanov501111611113V. Sydorenko4991311792
LJun 9 · 19:05A. Lifanov48107111192V. Sydorenko49121178113
WMay 18 · 13:05A. Lifanov371412113V. Sydorenko26121040
WMay 7 · 13:25A. Lifanov46811511113V. Sydorenko4011811732
A. Lifanov10
LSep 28 · 19:05A. Lifanov1.3611980F. Chashchin3.001311113LSep 28 · 17:05V. Sharpai2.10111012113A. Lifanov1.679121091WSep 28 · 16:05A. Lifanov2.10111113113V. Kaganovych1.672131161WSep 28 · 15:05O. Korobov1.73981151A. Lifanov2.0011118113WSep 28 · 13:35A. Lifanov1.401111113V. Hainiuk2.753660LSep 22 · 19:55A. Yakovenko2.20111197113A. Lifanov1.6186111152WSep 22 · 18:55I. Yelfimov2.50116991A. Lifanov1.5051111113WSep 22 · 17:25V. Sharpai1.91117561A. Lifanov1.8091111113WSep 22 · 15:25V. Hainiuk2.75611491A. Lifanov1.4011811113LSep 22 · 13:25V. Kaganovych1.6711128113A. Lifanov2.106101191
V. Sydorenko10
WSep 25 · 18:35D. Boltenkov1.501571071V. Sydorenko2.50131112113WSep 25 · 17:35V. Sydorenko1.7312111011113V. Husiev2.00101312472WSep 25 · 16:35V. Sydorenko1.8081111113A. Azarov1.91115761LSep 25 · 15:05V. Sydorenko2.20311111182V. Chumak1.61111393113WSep 25 · 13:05V. Sydorenko2.631111113V. Kaganovych1.449980LSep 24 · 19:05F. Chashchin1.67111011113V. Sydorenko2.10412841LSep 24 · 18:05V. Slabyshev1.6711117113V. Sydorenko2.10691181WSep 24 · 16:35V. Leonov1.531264111V. Sydorenko2.38101111133LSep 24 · 14:35D. Boltenkov1.5311116113V. Sydorenko2.38991151WSep 24 · 12:35A. Azarov1.83101211892V. Sydorenko1.831210711113
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