TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Martin Sychra vs Jiri Louda 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811113711114911
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:23 and never touched: 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeJiri Louda to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sychra above · Jiri Louda below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 86 set 5, 9-11 · our read held Jiri Louda at 59.7%
86 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sychra 23–36 Jiri Louda Martin Sychra has won 23 of their 59 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:2359.7%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 4.0pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Louda
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
23-36 in 59
Louda
Correct
gap of 13 in 59, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sychra 1592 vs Louda 1656
Louda
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sychra 60% vs Louda 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sychra 30% vs Louda 70%
Louda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sychra +2 · Louda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Louda) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sychra form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSychra 2.25 / Louda 1.571
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Louda)-4.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13247734
Sychra2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 03)
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog45% won 146 of 324
Down 0–1, comes back28% 50 of 178
Down 0–2, comes back11% 10 of 94
Louda1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 03)
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite55% won 184 of 333
Up 2–0, closes it87% 84 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it72% 138 of 191
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSychra4wins
AwayLouda6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLouda leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSychran = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayLouda66.7%6 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sychra1Louda9n = 10Louda took 9 of 10
S2Sychra5Louda5n = 10split evenly
S3Sychra4Louda6n = 10Louda took 6 of 10
S4Sychra6Louda3n = 9Sychra took 6 of 9
S5Sychra3Louda2n = 5Sychra took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSychraLoudaS − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match40.542.7−2.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSychraLoudaBasisWin rate · lifetime810 / 1548 vs 613 / 119552.3%51.3%810 / 1548 vs 613 / 1195Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LoudaSychra 2.25/Louda 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Louda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Louda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 6 · 06:30M. Sychra4681171192J. Louda40113114113
WOct 3 · 16:30M. Sychra546121114113J. Louda47111461242
LOct 1 · 20:30M. Sychra4291231172J. Louda511110118113
WSep 11 · 02:59M. Sychra4211911113J. Louda34911591
LSep 11 · 02:00M. Sychra28561251J. Louda43111110113
LSep 9 · 20:30M. Sychra371111691J. Louda4413911113
LSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra30371191J. Louda4011117113
WSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra5712111112113J. Louda52149131062
WSep 3 · 19:00M. Sychra46711611113J. Louda4211911472
LAug 21 · 01:30M. Sychra2361070J. Louda341112113
M. Sychra10
WOct 6 · 08:00V. Vejvoda1.6711831172M. Sychra2.10811119113LOct 6 · 07:00M. Regner1.80611117113M. Sychra1.9111671152WOct 3 · 16:59M. Sychra1.83911713113J. Zuzanek1.83116111162WOct 3 · 16:30J. Louda1.57111461242M. Sychra2.256121114113LOct 3 · 15:30M. Sychra2.201111371M. Pikous1.6191311113LOct 3 · 14:30J. Zuzanek1.831281311113M. Sychra1.83141111862WOct 3 · 12:59J. Zuzanek1.6711991182M. Sychra2.10811118113LOct 3 · 12:00M. Klement2.2011911113M. Sychra1.61511991LOct 3 · 11:00J. Zuzanek1.831111143M. Sychra1.8358120LOct 3 · 10:30M. Sychra1.918850M. Regner1.801111113
J. Louda10
WOct 6 · 07:30J. Louda1.5711111113V. Vejvoda2.25671151WOct 3 · 17:30M. Pikous1.9162100J. Louda1.801111123LOct 3 · 16:30J. Louda1.57111461242M. Sychra2.256121114113WOct 3 · 15:00J. Louda1.5371111113J. Zuzanek2.38115631LOct 3 · 14:00M. Pikous1.83911911113J. Louda1.8311711812WOct 2 · 17:30R. Wagner1.6311115952J. Louda2.15871111113WOct 2 · 16:30J. Louda1.4411159123V. Vejvoda2.6331311101LOct 2 · 15:00J. Louda2.00117591R. Wagner1.7391111113WOct 2 · 14:00M. Pikous1.91811411102J. Louda1.80113116123WOct 1 · 21:30S. Kasnik2.2077111292J. Louda1.601111810113
Upcoming Matches
M. Sychra
J. Louda
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