TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jiri Zuzanek vs Martin Sychra 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151181412––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:54 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Sychra to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Zuzanek above · Martin Sychra below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 14-12
Point 61 set 3, 14-12 · our read held Martin Sychra at 54.0%
61 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Zuzanek 45–31 Martin Sychra Martin Sychra has won 31 of their 76 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:5454.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Sychra
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
45-31 in 76
Zuzanek
Correct
gap of 14 in 76, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zuzanek 1533 vs Sychra 1621
Sychra
Wrong
both rated, 88 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zuzanek 20% vs Sychra 40%
Sychra
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zuzanek 20% vs Sychra 40%
Sychra
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zuzanek -1 · Sychra -3
Sychra
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Sychra) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sychra form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZuzanek 1.833 / Sychra 1.833
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sychra)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13233457
Zuzanek1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Sychra1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZuzanek4wins
AwaySychra6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSychra leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZuzanek42.9%3 of 7
AwaySychra66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zuzanek7Sychra3n = 10Zuzanek took 7 of 10
S2Zuzanek7Sychra3n = 10Zuzanek took 7 of 10
S3Zuzanek3Sychra7n = 10Sychra took 7 of 10
S4Zuzanek0Sychra8n = 8Sychra took 8 of 8
S5Zuzanek3Sychra3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZuzanekSychraZ − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.540.7+0.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZuzanekSychraBasisWin rate · lifetime538 / 1080 vs 807 / 154249.8%52.3%538 / 1080 vs 807 / 1542Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SychraZuzanek 1.83/Sychra 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sychra · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zuzanek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 30 · 11:00J. Zuzanek5013119892M. Sychra471131111113
LSep 30 · 07:00J. Zuzanek207940M. Sychra331111113
LSep 27 · 16:00J. Zuzanek501111116112M. Sychra47613411133
WSep 25 · 11:30J. Zuzanek521111108123M. Sychra43641211102
LSep 21 · 13:30J. Zuzanek4211111281M. Sychra4513714113
WSep 21 · 12:00J. Zuzanek473111210113M. Sychra44116101252
LSep 17 · 10:30J. Zuzanek351191051M. Sychra3951112113
WAug 31 · 12:00J. Zuzanek331111113M. Sychra155550
WAug 31 · 08:30J. Zuzanek42111136113M. Sychra4366111192
LAug 13 · 16:30J. Zuzanek44111161062M. Sychra51891112113
J. Zuzanek10
LOct 3 · 10:00M. Klement1.5081111113J. Zuzanek2.50112771WSep 30 · 13:00V. Vejvoda1.8331181192J. Zuzanek1.83115119113LSep 30 · 12:00A. Brazda1.671211113J. Zuzanek2.1010890LSep 30 · 11:00M. Sychra1.801131111113J. Zuzanek1.9113119892LSep 30 · 10:30J. Zuzanek1.73118991V. Vejvoda2.0071111113LSep 30 · 08:58J. Zuzanek1.7381111992V. Vejvoda2.00116911113LSep 30 · 08:30J. Zuzanek1.8361490M. Regner1.831116113LSep 30 · 07:00J. Zuzanek2.107940M. Sychra1.671111113WSep 30 · 06:00V. Vejvoda1.83381161J. Zuzanek1.8311119113LSep 29 · 17:00M. Wagner1.24111211113J. Zuzanek3.75614941
M. Sychra10
LOct 3 · 10:30M. Sychra1.918850M. Regner1.801111113LOct 2 · 03:30S. Kasnik1.8011117143M. Sychra1.903511121LOct 2 · 01:30M. Sychra1.83811681S. Kasnik1.8311911113WOct 2 · 00:30M. Regner1.808135141M. Sychra1.91111111163WOct 1 · 23:30M. Klement2.2011890M. Sychra1.611311113WOct 1 · 22:30M. Sychra2.10661111123M. Vondrak1.67111188102LOct 1 · 21:00M. Sychra1.8311101212112M. Pikous1.8313121010133LOct 1 · 20:30J. Louda1.611110118113M. Sychra2.2091231172WSep 30 · 11:00M. Sychra1.801131111113J. Zuzanek1.9113119892WSep 30 · 07:00J. Zuzanek2.107940M. Sychra1.671111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Zuzanek
Oct 3 · 12:30J. Zuzanek1.91M. Regner1.80—Oct 3 · 14:30J. Zuzanek1.83M. Sychra1.83—Oct 3 · 15:00J. Zuzanek2.38J. Louda1.53—Oct 3 · 16:00J. Zuzanek3.00M. Pikous1.36—Oct 4 · 14:00J. Zuzanek—M. Nohejl——Oct 4 · 15:30J. Zuzanek—T. Janata——Oct 4 · 16:00J. Zuzanek—M. Vizek——Oct 4 · 18:30J. Zuzanek—D. Hofman——Oct 4 · 19:30J. Zuzanek—R. Pacha——Oct 4 · 20:30J. Zuzanek—M. Klement——
M. Sychra
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