TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Lukas Krupnik Jr vs Ondrej Skvor 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511811811––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:05 and never touched: 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeOndrej Skvor to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Krupnik Jr above · Ondrej Skvor below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 54 set 3, 8-11 · our read held Ondrej Skvor at 61.7%
54 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krupnik Jr 0–1 Ondrej Skvor Lukas Krupnik Jr has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:0561.7%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 2.0pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Skvor
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krupnik Jr 1358 vs Skvor 1495
Skvor
Correct
both rated, 136 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krupnik Jr 40% vs Skvor 80%
Skvor
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krupnik Jr 40% vs Skvor 80%
Skvor
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krupnik Jr -2 · Skvor +3
Skvor
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Slight lean (leans Skvor) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvor form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupnik Jr 2.25 / Skvor 1.571
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Skvor)-2.0pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13245915
Krupnik Jr2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 85 of 174
Down 0–1, comes back34% 27 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back13% 5 of 38
Skvor1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 60 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it64% 36 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKrupnik Jr0wins
AwaySkvor1wins
Skvor leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricKrupnik JrSkvorK − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match21.033.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupnik JrSkvorBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 482 vs 107 / 20452.9%52.5%255 / 482 vs 107 / 204Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SkvorKrupnik Jr 2.25/Skvor 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Skvor · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Skvor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LOct 5 · 07:10L. Krupnik Jr215880O. Skvor331111113
L. Krupnik Jr10
LOct 5 · 05:40J. Matus1.611311113L. Krupnik Jr2.2011950LOct 3 · 21:10J. Matus1.44571111113L. Krupnik Jr2.6311113982WOct 3 · 20:10J. Jnr2.008580L. Krupnik Jr1.731111113LOct 3 · 19:10L. Krupnik Jr2.101411851J. Matus1.67121311113WOct 3 · 17:40T. Ogrocki1.4412118882L. Krupnik Jr2.631081111113WOct 1 · 12:44P. Sturma1.8311119111L. Krupnik Jr1.8313911133LOct 1 · 12:15P. Sturma2.2051111123L. Krupnik Jr1.611166101LOct 1 · 11:15L. Krupnik Jr2.0010630D. Stefek1.731211113LOct 1 · 09:45P. Chlad1.801111123L. Krupnik Jr1.9157100WSep 27 · 21:09L. Krupnik Jr1.91911118113M. Dolezal1.8011781172
O. Skvor10
WOct 5 · 06:10O. Skvor1.611111113A. Strelec2.206670WOct 4 · 13:15O. Skvor1.831381111113M. Lorenc1.83111181372WOct 4 · 11:40O. Skvor1.6311811113V. Molin2.15111481LOct 4 · 10:40O. Skvor1.83771281M. Lorenc1.83111110113WOct 4 · 09:40O. Skvor1.80711711113J. Sindler1.9111711982WSep 29 · 21:15O. Skvor1.671111113M. Janik2.106770LSep 29 · 20:10O. Skvor1.7351114101K. Zeman2.0011616123WSep 29 · 18:40D. Osvald1.838980O. Skvor1.831111113WSep 29 · 18:10M. Janik1.8389100O. Skvor1.831111123WSep 29 · 16:43O. Skvor1.8371111113M. Janik1.83119591
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