TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Ondrej Skvor vs Michal Janik 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116117117––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingOndrej Skvor above · Michal Janik below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 53 set 3, 11-7
53 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Skvor 7–5 Michal Janik Michal Janik has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
They have already met 3 times today · last one 3h before this match
Skvor beat Janik 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvor form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvor 1.67 / Janik 2.10
TT Cup · #13219224
Skvor1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 57 of 108
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it63% 34 of 54
Janik2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 31 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back29% 12 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkvor6wins
AwayJanik4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSkvor leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvor75%3 of 4
AwayJanik50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvor4Janik6n = 10Janik took 6 of 10
S2Skvor8Janik2n = 10Skvor took 8 of 10
S3Skvor2Janik8n = 10Janik took 8 of 10
S4Skvor6Janik2n = 8Skvor took 6 of 8
S5Skvor2Janik1n = 3Skvor took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkvorJanikS − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.338.6+0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvorJanikBasisWin rate · lifetime101 / 197 vs 134 / 29751.3%45.1%101 / 197 vs 134 / 297Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SkvorSkvor 1.67/Janik 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–0
Skvor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 29 · 18:10O. Skvor341111123M. Janik2789100
WSep 29 · 16:43O. Skvor4071111113M. Janik34119591
WSep 29 · 15:40O. Skvor501011711113M. Janik4412711772
WSep 25 · 10:15O. Skvor511011811113M. Janik4212111992
WSep 25 · 07:45O. Skvor4211118123M. Janik358611101
LSep 19 · 18:15O. Skvor197390M. Janik331111113
LSep 19 · 14:15O. Skvor406111491M. Janik4611816113
LSep 2 · 18:10O. Skvor4013761132M. Janik531111119113
LSep 2 · 16:39O. Skvor371011971M. Janik4112711113
WSep 2 · 14:10O. Skvor4011117113M. Janik31571181
O. Skvor10
LSep 29 · 20:10O. Skvor1.7351114101K. Zeman2.0011616123WSep 29 · 18:40D. Osvald1.838980O. Skvor1.831111113WSep 29 · 18:10M. Janik1.8389100O. Skvor1.831111123WSep 29 · 16:43O. Skvor1.8371111113M. Janik1.83119591WSep 29 · 15:40M. Janik1.8012711772O. Skvor1.911011711113LSep 29 · 15:10M. Lorenc1.73611511113O. Skvor2.0011711682LSep 29 · 14:10O. Skvor1.807115111J. Sindler1.9111611133WSep 27 · 20:39O. Skvor1.61911212113V. Reska2.20119111082WSep 27 · 20:15V. Reska1.735790O. Skvor2.001111113LSep 27 · 19:15O. Skvor2.1011137592T. Molin1.676111111113
M. Janik10
WSep 29 · 19:40D. Osvald1.91107111162M. Janik1.80121158113WSep 29 · 19:10K. Zeman1.831112891M. Janik1.8371411113LSep 29 · 18:10M. Janik1.8389100O. Skvor1.831111123LSep 29 · 16:43O. Skvor1.8371111113M. Janik1.83119591LSep 29 · 15:40M. Janik1.8012711772O. Skvor1.911011711113LSep 29 · 14:40M. Janik1.675590J. Sindler2.101111113LSep 29 · 13:40M. Janik1.83881111162M. Lorenc1.83111189183WSep 25 · 12:49M. Janik1.915111111113A. Drozd1.8011481392WSep 25 · 12:15M. Janik1.8315311113T. Ogrocki1.831311781LSep 25 · 10:45A. Drozd2.0091115113M. Janik1.731181371
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