TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Roman Boklah vs Vitalii Klymenko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115811116118––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:28 and never touched: 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeRoman Boklah to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Boklah above · Vitalii Klymenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 71 set 4, 11-8 · our read held Roman Boklah at 55.8%
71 points played in total.
H2H Roman Boklah 22–19 Vitalii Klymenko Vitalii Klymenko has won 19 of their 41 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:2855.8%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 4.2pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Boklah
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
22-19 in 41
Boklah
Correct
gap of 3 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Boklah 1116 vs Klymenko 1049
Boklah
Correct
both rated, 67 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boklah 60% vs Klymenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boklah 50% vs Klymenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Boklah +2 · Klymenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Boklah) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klymenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoklah 1.666 / Klymenko 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Boklah)-4.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13245372
Boklah1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 68 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it82% 46 of 56
Klymenko2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 37 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back20% 12 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBoklah5wins
AwayKlymenko5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBoklah66.7%4 of 6
AwayKlymenko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Boklah6Klymenko4n = 10Boklah took 6 of 10
S2Boklah3Klymenko7n = 10Klymenko took 7 of 10
S3Boklah5Klymenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Boklah5Klymenko2n = 7Boklah took 5 of 7
S5Boklah1Klymenko2n = 3Klymenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBoklahKlymenkoB − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.337.9−0.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoklahKlymenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime257 / 616 vs 104 / 25841.7%40.3%257 / 616 vs 104 / 258Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.635.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BoklahBoklah 1.67/Klymenko 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Boklah · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Boklah won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 5 · 13:30R. Boklah4111811113V. Klymenko30511681
LOct 3 · 06:30R. Boklah132650V. Klymenko331111113
WSep 30 · 16:00R. Boklah4111514113V. Klymenko419111291
LSep 28 · 15:00R. Boklah4491111131V. Klymenko4411513153
WSep 26 · 07:00R. Boklah341211113V. Klymenko2710890
LSep 23 · 14:30R. Boklah184590V. Klymenko331111113
WSep 21 · 16:00R. Boklah45711114123V. Klymenko43114711102
LSep 19 · 11:30R. Boklah48118101182V. Klymenko43611123113
WAug 1 · 06:00R. Boklah4211911113V. Klymenko33811951
LJul 27 · 14:30R. Boklah47121081162V. Klymenko521012118113
R. Boklah10
WOct 5 · 15:00R. Boklah1.255111011113D. Aldayev3.7511512552WOct 5 · 12:00R. Boklah1.5711812113O. Kolos2.254111061WOct 3 · 11:00V. Ivnytskyi3.00141111892R. Boklah1.36167711113LOct 3 · 10:00A. Fastov1.83141111113R. Boklah1.83167961WOct 3 · 08:30D. Aldayev3.507750R. Boklah1.281111113LOct 3 · 06:30V. Klymenko2.251111113R. Boklah1.572650LOct 3 · 04:30O. Kolos2.501111113R. Boklah1.505830LSep 30 · 17:28R. Boklah1.4478111152O. Kolos2.63111188113WSep 30 · 16:00V. Klymenko2.209111291R. Boklah1.6111514113WSep 30 · 14:30V. Ivnytskyi3.2561181162R. Boklah1.33115119113
V. Klymenko10
LOct 5 · 14:30V. Klymenko3.0055110O. Kolos1.361111133WOct 5 · 12:30V. Klymenko1.731311113D. Aldayev2.0011770LOct 3 · 11:30V. Klymenko4.009790A. Fastov1.221111113LOct 3 · 09:30D. Aldayev2.2011114133V. Klymenko1.617511111WOct 3 · 07:30O. Kolos1.3012731182V. Klymenko3.401011116113WOct 3 · 06:30V. Klymenko2.251111113R. Boklah1.572650WOct 3 · 05:30V. Ivnytskyi2.2571150V. Klymenko1.571113113WSep 30 · 16:59V. Klymenko1.801311113V. Ivnytskyi1.9111880LSep 30 · 16:00V. Klymenko2.209111291R. Boklah1.6111514113LSep 30 · 15:00O. Kolos1.361112113V. Klymenko3.0041030
Upcoming Matches
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