TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vitalii Klymenko vs Andrii Fastov 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711911––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:19 and never touched: 81.0% is still 81.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Fastov to win
81.0%
81.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Klymenko above · Andrii Fastov below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Andrii Fastov at 81.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Klymenko 4–15 Andrii Fastov Vitalii Klymenko has won 4 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:1981.0%Our read81.8%to break even at 1.222
short by 0.8pp81.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.222 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Fastov
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-15 in 19
Fastov
Correct
gap of 11 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klymenko 1058 vs Fastov 1210
Fastov
Correct
both rated, 153 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klymenko 80% vs Fastov 60%
Klymenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klymenko 70% vs Fastov 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Klymenko -1 · Fastov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% · Strong (leans Fastov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fastov form (60%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlymenko 4.00 / Fastov 1.222
Signal prob.19% / 81%
Edge (Fastov)-0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13234355
Klymenko4.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 35 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back19% 11 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Fastov1.22
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite77% won 68 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it93% 41 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it90% 54 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKlymenko2wins
AwayFastov8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderFastov leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlymenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayFastov87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klymenko2Fastov8n = 10Fastov took 8 of 10
S2Klymenko1Fastov9n = 10Fastov took 9 of 10
S3Klymenko4Fastov6n = 10Fastov took 6 of 10
S4Klymenko1Fastov4n = 5Fastov took 4 of 5
S5Klymenko2Fastov1n = 3Klymenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricKlymenkoFastovK − FBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match29.738.7−9.0per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlymenkoFastovBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 255 vs 125 / 23640.4%53%103 / 255 vs 125 / 236Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
FastovKlymenko 4.00/Fastov 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81%
Fastov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fastov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 28 · 12:30V. Klymenko47116117123A. Fastov43311811102
LSep 26 · 08:00V. Klymenko4311711772A. Fastov46511811113
LAug 15 · 06:00V. Klymenko195860A. Fastov331111113
LAug 10 · 17:43V. Klymenko155550A. Fastov331111113
WAug 10 · 13:30V. Klymenko551271411113A. Fastov46141112272
LAug 1 · 10:30V. Klymenko28591131A. Fastov4111118113
LJul 27 · 17:04V. Klymenko2477100A. Fastov341111123
LJul 27 · 13:30V. Klymenko205870A. Fastov331111113
LJul 25 · 06:30V. Klymenko28513551A. Fastov44111111113
LJul 20 · 13:30V. Klymenko1810260A. Fastov341211113
V. Klymenko10
LOct 3 · 09:30D. Aldayev2.2011114133V. Klymenko1.617511111WOct 3 · 07:30O. Kolos1.3012731182V. Klymenko3.401011116113WOct 3 · 06:30V. Klymenko2.251111113R. Boklah1.572650WOct 3 · 05:30V. Ivnytskyi2.2571150V. Klymenko1.571113113WSep 30 · 16:59V. Klymenko1.801311113V. Ivnytskyi1.9111880LSep 30 · 16:00V. Klymenko2.209111291R. Boklah1.6111514113LSep 30 · 15:00O. Kolos1.361112113V. Klymenko3.0041030WSep 30 · 14:00D. Aldayev2.1011881192V. Klymenko1.67511118113WSep 30 · 12:30V. Ivnytskyi1.8393111192V. Klymenko1.83111189113WSep 28 · 17:05V. Klymenko1.73119211123D. Aldayev2.00711117102
A. Fastov10
WOct 3 · 10:00A. Fastov1.83141111113R. Boklah1.83167961WOct 3 · 08:00V. Ivnytskyi5.007911101A. Fastov1.1411118123LOct 3 · 06:00O. Kolos2.1011115113A. Fastov1.67781151LOct 3 · 05:00D. Aldayev4.331191111113A. Fastov1.2051113882WSep 28 · 17:34A. Fastov1.835111012113R. Boklah1.83116121092WSep 28 · 15:30D. Aldayev4.00119671A. Fastov1.2271111113WSep 28 · 14:30A. Fastov1.73811611113O. Kolos2.0011311982WSep 28 · 13:30R. Boklah1.67411681A. Fastov2.1011911113LSep 28 · 12:30A. Fastov1.14311811102V. Klymenko5.00116117123WSep 26 · 10:19R. Boklah1.5061190A. Fastov2.501113113
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