TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vladyslav Kovalchuk vs Yurii Parahailo · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Starts Oct 5, 04:35Scheduled
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Head to head
45 – 76
All 121 meetings · 37.2%
Last 10 · 2–8Same side
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Both players are 5–5 over their last ten. The difference is the direction: Vladyslav Kovalchuk arrives off a win, Yurii Parahailo off a loss, and the streak is one of the signals the engine reads.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 15h before this match
Parahailo beat Kovalchuk 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovalchuk 2.50 / Parahailo 1.50
Setka Cup · #13245239
Kovalchuk2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 97 of 215
Down 0–1, comes back22% 23 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 51
Parahailo1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 85 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it89% 47 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it76% 64 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKovalchuk2wins
AwayParahailo8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderParahailo leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovalchuk40%2 of 5
AwayParahailo100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovalchuk5Parahailo5n = 10split evenly
S2Kovalchuk2Parahailo8n = 10Parahailo took 8 of 10
S3Kovalchuk4Parahailo5n = 9Parahailo took 5 of 9
S4Kovalchuk1Parahailo6n = 7Parahailo took 6 of 7
S5Kovalchuk2Parahailo3n = 5Parahailo took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKovalchukParahailoK − PBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.943.3−5.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovalchukParahailoBasisWin rate · lifetime374 / 775 vs 410 / 82048.3%50%374 / 775 vs 410 / 820Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LOct 4 · 02:30V. Kovalchuk228590Y. Parahailo331111113
LSep 20 · 14:35V. Kovalchuk49611171142Y. Parahailo57117199113
WSep 19 · 23:30V. Kovalchuk52129119113Y. Parahailo43101141172
WSep 14 · 09:05V. Kovalchuk42111172113Y. Parahailo4359111172
LSep 13 · 13:05V. Kovalchuk33591181Y. Parahailo4011117113
LSep 13 · 02:30V. Kovalchuk301110451Y. Parahailo4171211113
LAug 24 · 09:05V. Kovalchuk208570Y. Parahailo331111113
LAug 23 · 14:35V. Kovalchuk47111011872Y. Parahailo48612811113
LAug 23 · 00:30V. Kovalchuk46117121062Y. Parahailo528111012113
V. Kovalchuk10
WOct 4 · 19:05D. Shchegelskyi1.91611615112V. Kovalchuk1.801141113133LOct 4 · 17:35V. Kovalchuk2.10414771O. Storozhenko1.67111211113LOct 4 · 15:35R. Novak1.671111123V. Kovalchuk2.1068100LOct 4 · 13:35Y. Parahailo1.531111103V. Kovalchuk2.388970WOct 4 · 12:35M. Khomenko1.73612541V. Kovalchuk2.00111011113LOct 4 · 02:30V. Kovalchuk2.388590Y. Parahailo1.531111113WOct 4 · 00:30Y. Tebenko1.839550V. Kovalchuk1.831111113LOct 3 · 23:30V. Kovalchuk2.201181291D. Shchegelskyi1.6161114113WOct 3 · 22:30M. Khomenko1.6111971272V. Kovalchuk2.208111110113WOct 3 · 21:00V. Kovalchuk1.801111113O. Storozhenko1.916970
Y. Parahailo10
LOct 4 · 18:05Y. Parahailo3.7511116542M. Khomenko1.25781111113LOct 4 · 16:35Y. Parahailo1.838450R. Novak1.831111113WOct 4 · 15:05Y. Parahailo2.3881112123D. Shchegelskyi1.5311810101WOct 4 · 13:35Y. Parahailo1.531111103V. Kovalchuk2.388970LOct 4 · 12:05Y. Parahailo1.80811100O. Storozhenko1.911113123WOct 4 · 02:30V. Kovalchuk2.388590Y. Parahailo1.531111113WOct 4 · 01:30D. Shchegelskyi2.0011119292Y. Parahailo1.73971111113LOct 4 · 00:00M. Khomenko1.2511116113Y. Parahailo3.75671141WOct 3 · 22:00O. Storozhenko1.83115118112Y. Parahailo1.83111811133LOct 3 · 20:00Y. Tebenko1.839101111113Y. Parahailo1.8311126562
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