TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Radomir Revay vs Martin Biolek 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811119911116119
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:29 and never touched: 73.1% is still 73.1%
Graded at full timeMartin Biolek to win
73.1%
73.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadomir Revay above · Martin Biolek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 96 set 5, 11-9 · our read held Martin Biolek at 73.1%
96 points played in total.
H2H Radomir Revay 0–1 Martin Biolek Radomir Revay has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:2973.1%Our read77.8%to break even at 1.285
short by 4.7pp77.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.285 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Biolek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Revay 1848 vs Biolek 1842
Revay
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Revay 60% vs Biolek 20%
Revay
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Revay 60% vs Biolek 20%
Revay
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Revay +2 · Biolek -3
Biolek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% · Strong (leans Biolek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Biolek form (20%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRevay 3.50 / Biolek 1.285
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Biolek)-4.7pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13237526
Revay3.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 30)
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 111 of 227
Down 0–1, comes back32% 39 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back15% 9 of 59
Biolek1.28
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 01)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 112 of 216
Up 2–0, closes it90% 54 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it71% 84 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRevay0wins
AwayBiolek1wins
Biolek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricRevayBiolekR − BBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match26.041.0−15.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRevayBiolekBasisWin rate · lifetime326 / 623 vs 251 / 45752.3%54.9%326 / 623 vs 251 / 457Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BiolekRevay 3.50/Biolek 1.28
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.1%
Biolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Revay won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJan 3 · 16:00R. Revay26511461M. Biolek4111811113
R. Revay10
LOct 4 · 15:00O. Paril1.91111187113R. Revay1.8019111142WSep 30 · 20:59T. Zika1.8311129862R. Revay1.837101111113WSep 30 · 20:00R. Revay1.6711511113T. Dousek2.10411571LSep 30 · 19:30T. Zika1.731313113R. Revay2.00111180LSep 30 · 18:00R. Revay1.731148101D. Opanasiuk2.0081111123WSep 29 · 20:58R. Revay1.67101111113T. Dousek2.10125681LSep 29 · 20:30T. Dousek2.0091111113R. Revay1.73119851WSep 29 · 19:30R. Revay2.15111211113J. Dzida1.55814961LSep 29 · 18:30T. Zika1.801810811123R. Revay1.911612118102WSep 28 · 09:30R. Revay1.901112113T. Zika1.8061060
M. Biolek10
WOct 4 · 15:30M. Biolek1.831111113D. Opanasiuk1.839470LOct 1 · 17:30J. Dzida1.8591112173M. Biolek1.8511610151LOct 1 · 16:30M. Biolek2.00711911112J. Szotkowski1.73116118133LOct 1 · 15:00M. Biolek1.8310111161J. Dzida1.8312913113WOct 1 · 14:00R. Niezgoda1.8371090M. Biolek1.831112113LSep 29 · 16:58M. Biolek1.6711711111O. Paril2.1071113133LSep 29 · 16:00R. Niezgoda1.801111113M. Biolek1.918590WSep 29 · 15:00T. Zika2.634840M. Biolek1.441111113LSep 29 · 14:30M. Biolek1.731298111O. Paril2.00101111133LSep 27 · 21:30J. Dzida1.731111610113M. Biolek2.0047111292
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.