TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Martin Biolek vs Jan Dzida 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121191113611––
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:55 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Dzida to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Biolek above · Jan Dzida below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 83 set 4, 6-11 · our read held Jan Dzida at 54.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Martin Biolek 52–60 Jan Dzida Martin Biolek has won 52 of their 112 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:5554.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Dzida
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
52-60 in 112
Dzida
Correct
gap of 8 in 112, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Biolek 1869 vs Dzida 1949
Dzida
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Biolek 40% vs Dzida 80%
Dzida
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Biolek 40% vs Dzida 90%
Dzida
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Biolek +1 · Dzida +3
Dzida
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Dzida) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dzida form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBiolek 1.833 / Dzida 1.833
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dzida)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13222764
Biolek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Dzida1.83
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBiolek5wins
AwayDzida5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBiolek100%5 of 5
AwayDzida100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Biolek5Dzida5n = 10split evenly
S2Biolek6Dzida4n = 10Biolek took 6 of 10
S3Biolek5Dzida5n = 10split evenly
S4Biolek4Dzida2n = 6Biolek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBiolekDzidaB − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.535.6−0.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBiolekDzidaBasisWin rate · lifetime251 / 454 vs 229 / 38855.3%59%251 / 454 vs 229 / 388Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaBiolek 1.83/Dzida 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dzida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 21:30M. Biolek4347111292J. Dzida491111610113
LSep 27 · 20:30M. Biolek368114131J. Dzida4311611153
WSep 25 · 14:00M. Biolek331111113J. Dzida225890
WSep 22 · 16:00M. Biolek4011117113J. Dzida31561191
LSep 21 · 14:00M. Biolek45111111842J. Dzida46138311113
WSep 15 · 20:00M. Biolek4511119143J. Dzida409811121
LSep 14 · 17:30M. Biolek1810620J. Dzida341211113
LSep 14 · 14:00M. Biolek215970J. Dzida331111113
WSep 13 · 21:30M. Biolek341111123J. Dzida2899100
WSep 13 · 19:00M. Biolek4011711113J. Dzida30211891
M. Biolek10
WOct 1 · 14:00R. Niezgoda1.8371090M. Biolek1.831112113LSep 29 · 16:58M. Biolek1.6711711111O. Paril2.1071113133LSep 29 · 16:00R. Niezgoda1.801111113M. Biolek1.918590WSep 29 · 15:00T. Zika2.634840M. Biolek1.441111113LSep 29 · 14:30M. Biolek1.731298111O. Paril2.00101111133LSep 27 · 21:30J. Dzida1.731111610113M. Biolek2.0047111292LSep 27 · 20:30J. Dzida1.8011611153M. Biolek1.918114131WSep 27 · 19:30M. Biolek1.611111113T. Dousek2.205890WSep 27 · 18:30O. Paril2.108121151M. Biolek1.6711148113LSep 27 · 17:30M. Biolek1.73711241O. Paril2.0011911113
J. Dzida10
WOct 1 · 16:00R. Niezgoda1.8081261472J. Dzida1.9111101112113WOct 1 · 14:30J. Dzida1.731311123J. Szotkowski2.00116100WSep 29 · 21:30J. Dzida1.361111173T. Zika3.0078150WSep 29 · 20:00J. Dzida1.401213113T. Zika2.75101160LSep 29 · 19:30R. Revay2.15111211113J. Dzida1.55814961WSep 29 · 18:00J. Dzida1.361111133T. Dousek3.0099110WSep 27 · 21:30J. Dzida1.731111610113M. Biolek2.0047111292WSep 27 · 20:30J. Dzida1.8011611153M. Biolek1.918114131WSep 27 · 19:00J. Dzida1.671111113O. Paril2.109670WSep 27 · 18:00T. Dousek2.7510720J. Dzida1.401211113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.