TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Viktor Vejvoda vs Marcel Pikous 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4111311711611––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:15 and never touched: 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeMarcel Pikous to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Vejvoda above · Marcel Pikous below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 74 set 4, 6-11 · our read held Marcel Pikous at 66.9%
74 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Vejvoda 5–16 Marcel Pikous Viktor Vejvoda has won 5 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:1566.9%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 2.4pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Pikous
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-16 in 21
Pikous
Correct
gap of 11 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vejvoda 1581 vs Pikous 1627
Pikous
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vejvoda 20% vs Pikous 40%
Pikous
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vejvoda 30% vs Pikous 60%
Pikous
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vejvoda -4 · Pikous -1
Vejvoda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% · Clear lean (leans Pikous) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pikous form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVejvoda 2.625 / Pikous 1.444
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Pikous)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13233437
Vejvoda2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 83 of 204
Down 0–1, comes back20% 23 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 70
Pikous1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 107 of 185
Up 2–0, closes it89% 55 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it79% 77 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVejvoda3wins
AwayPikous7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPikous leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVejvoda50%2 of 4
AwayPikous83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vejvoda4Pikous6n = 10Pikous took 6 of 10
S2Vejvoda4Pikous6n = 10Pikous took 6 of 10
S3Vejvoda5Pikous5n = 10split evenly
S4Vejvoda3Pikous6n = 9Pikous took 6 of 9
S5Vejvoda2Pikous3n = 5Pikous took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVejvodaPikousV − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.843.2−6.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVejvodaPikousBasisWin rate · lifetime465 / 893 vs 371 / 70152.1%52.9%465 / 893 vs 371 / 701Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PikousVejvoda 2.63/Pikous 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Pikous · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pikous won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 21:30V. Vejvoda45111110133M. Pikous302512111
LSep 27 · 20:00V. Vejvoda30117481M. Pikous4071111113
LAug 1 · 18:00V. Vejvoda4211611682M. Pikous46811511113
LJul 22 · 16:00V. Vejvoda24512161M. Pikous43111011113
LJul 6 · 19:30V. Vejvoda4581171182M. Pikous50119118113
LJun 22 · 19:00V. Vejvoda28841241M. Pikous43111110113
LApr 17 · 19:30V. Vejvoda3921211592M. Pikous521110911113
WMar 15 · 00:30V. Vejvoda52871114123M. Pikous501111612102
WMar 7 · 03:30V. Vejvoda45115117113M. Pikous4551191192
LMar 3 · 16:30V. Vejvoda184680M. Pikous331111113
V. Vejvoda10
LOct 2 · 14:31R. Wagner1.461111113V. Vejvoda2.556880LSep 30 · 13:00V. Vejvoda1.8331181192J. Zuzanek1.83115119113LSep 30 · 12:30M. Sychra2.10811175113V. Vejvoda1.67116151132LSep 30 · 11:30V. Vejvoda1.6791151172A. Brazda2.10115117113WSep 30 · 10:30J. Zuzanek1.73118991V. Vejvoda2.0071111113WSep 30 · 08:58J. Zuzanek1.7381111992V. Vejvoda2.00116911113LSep 30 · 08:00V. Vejvoda1.739570M. Sychra2.001111113LSep 30 · 07:30M. Regner2.10111186113V. Vejvoda1.6775111152LSep 30 · 06:00V. Vejvoda1.83381161J. Zuzanek1.8311119113WSep 27 · 21:30V. Vejvoda2.75111110133M. Pikous1.402512111
M. Pikous10
LOct 2 · 14:00M. Pikous1.91811411102J. Louda1.80113116123WOct 1 · 21:00M. Sychra1.8311101212112M. Pikous1.8313121010133LOct 1 · 20:00S. Kasnik2.50931112113M. Pikous1.50111181092WOct 1 · 19:00J. Louda1.83111091172M. Pikous1.83712116113LOct 1 · 18:30M. Pikous1.578640M. Sychra2.251111113WSep 30 · 17:30M. Pikous1.8311911123J. Louda1.836119101LSep 30 · 16:30J. Louda1.83711118113M. Pikous1.8311951152WSep 30 · 15:30M. Pikous1.40891111113S. Kasnik2.7511117362WSep 30 · 14:30A. Brazda2.2510890M. Pikous1.571211113LSep 27 · 21:30V. Vejvoda2.75111110133M. Pikous1.402512111
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