TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Pawel Gola vs Michal Lysakowski 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
121051110121012––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:23 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Lysakowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
82 points played in total.
Set by set
121051110121012––
H2H Pawel Gola 95–85 Michal Lysakowski Michal Lysakowski has won 85 of their 180 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:2354.0%Our read56.2%to break even at 1.78
short by 2.2pp56.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.78 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.78 (52%)
Lysakowski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
95-85 in 180
Gola
Wrong
gap of 10 in 180, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gola 1606 vs Lysakowski 1640
Lysakowski
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gola 60% vs Lysakowski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gola 50% vs Lysakowski 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gola -1 · Lysakowski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Lysakowski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGola 1.909 / Lysakowski 1.78
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lysakowski)-2.2pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13231997
Gola1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 68 of 190
Down 0–1, comes back12% 12 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 70
Lysakowski1.78
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 191 of 333
Up 2–0, closes it94% 119 of 127
Up 1–0, closes it78% 162 of 207
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGola4wins
AwayLysakowski6wins
Lysakowski leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGola100%3 of 3
AwayLysakowski85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gola3Lysakowski7n = 10Lysakowski took 7 of 10
S2Gola4Lysakowski6n = 10Lysakowski took 6 of 10
S3Gola6Lysakowski4n = 10Gola took 6 of 10
S4Gola3Lysakowski4n = 7Lysakowski took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGolaLysakowskiG − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.437.0−1.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGolaLysakowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime582 / 1193 vs 662 / 132448.8%50%582 / 1193 vs 662 / 1324Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LysakowskiGola 1.91/Lysakowski 1.78
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lysakowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lysakowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 29 · 13:30P. Gola406911141M. Lysakowski4711119163
LSep 29 · 07:00P. Gola32751191M. Lysakowski3911116113
WSep 28 · 05:30P. Gola45121111113M. Lysakowski35148491
LSep 25 · 13:00P. Gola195950M. Lysakowski331111113
WSep 25 · 12:00P. Gola361411113M. Lysakowski2612770
WSep 24 · 09:00P. Gola4311911123M. Lysakowski377119101
LSep 21 · 07:00P. Gola34711971M. Lysakowski3911611113
LSep 20 · 21:05P. Gola227960M. Lysakowski331111113
WSep 18 · 08:00P. Gola4311138113M. Lysakowski366111181
LSep 13 · 18:35P. Gola4010811111M. Lysakowski4512119133
P. Gola10
LOct 2 · 07:30B. Molka2.406131111113P. Gola1.50111113932WOct 2 · 07:00P. Gola1.8511148113M. Galus1.868121171LOct 1 · 13:30D. Stapor1.551111123P. Gola2.3088100WOct 1 · 11:00M. Galus1.604460P. Gola2.201111113WOct 1 · 10:00P. Gola1.50121111113J. Masternak2.35141781LOct 1 · 09:00P. Gola1.6078111262S. Radlo2.201111910113WOct 1 · 07:30P. Gola1.63111110113M. Burkacki2.15751271LOct 1 · 05:30P. Gola2.15119771D. Stapor1.6161111113LSep 29 · 13:30M. Lysakowski1.9111119163P. Gola1.806911141WSep 29 · 11:30D. Stapor1.58115351P. Gola2.2591111113
M. Lysakowski10
LOct 2 · 06:30M. Burkacki2.751111123M. Lysakowski1.4099100LOct 2 · 05:30B. Molka2.7511125113M. Lysakowski1.407101151WSep 29 · 13:30M. Lysakowski1.9111119163P. Gola1.806911141WSep 29 · 12:00M. Lysakowski1.411111113S. Wloszek2.606890WSep 29 · 10:00J. Chojnacki4.60461291M. Lysakowski1.17111110113WSep 29 · 08:00S. Radlo2.556118111M. Lysakowski1.4611911133WSep 29 · 07:00M. Lysakowski1.6611116113P. Gola2.10751191LSep 29 · 06:00D. Stapor1.92134814113M. Lysakowski1.791111111222LSep 28 · 12:40M. Lysakowski2.24811881B. Molka1.5811911113LSep 28 · 12:00J. Chojnacki1.4211112113M. Lysakowski2.70981191
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