TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Mateusz Galus vs Pawel Gola 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411411611––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:57 and never touched: 61.4% is still 61.4%
Graded at full timeMateusz Galus to win
61.4%
61.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
47 points played in total.
Set by set
411411611––––
H2H Mateusz Galus 49–31 Pawel Gola Pawel Gola has won 31 of their 80 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:5761.4%Our read62.5%to break even at 1.60
short by 1.1pp62.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.60 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Galus
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
49-31 in 80
Galus
Wrong
gap of 18 in 80, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Galus 1619 vs Gola 1602
Galus
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Galus 60% vs Gola 40%
Galus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Galus 60% vs Gola 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Galus +1 · Gola +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Galus) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGalus 1.60 / Gola 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Galus)-1.1pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13227300
Galus1.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 131 of 235
Up 2–0, closes it99% 70 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it78% 98 of 125
Gola2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 67 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back12% 12 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGalus7wins
AwayGola3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderGalus leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGalus100%5 of 5
AwayGola60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Galus5Gola5n = 10split evenly
S2Galus7Gola3n = 10Galus took 7 of 10
S3Galus8Gola2n = 10Galus took 8 of 10
S4Galus2Gola2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGalusGolaGalus − GolaBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.731.0+4.7per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGalusGolaBasisWin rate · lifetime357 / 674 vs 583 / 119453%48.8%357 / 674 vs 583 / 1194Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GalusGalus 1.60/Gola 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.4%
Galus · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gola won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 10:30M. Galus26521181P. Gola4111118113
WSep 23 · 07:00M. Galus331111113P. Gola164750
WSep 18 · 05:00M. Galus331111113P. Gola218670
LSep 11 · 10:30M. Galus4210111291P. Gola46121310113
WAug 31 · 06:30M. Galus361411113P. Gola2512760
WAug 26 · 13:30M. Galus47511711133P. Gola47118116112
WAug 26 · 11:30M. Galus46131111113P. Gola30154831
WAug 19 · 05:00M. Galus341111123P. Gola2688100
LAug 4 · 10:00M. Galus2610790P. Gola341211113
WAug 3 · 05:00M. Galus341211113P. Gola2410590
M. Galus10
WOct 1 · 09:30M. Galus1.55131111113M. Burkacki2.30156491LOct 1 · 08:00M. Galus1.401197101J. Masternak2.7581111123WOct 1 · 06:30M. Galus1.651111113D. Stapor2.103880WOct 1 · 05:00M. Galus1.621111113S. Radlo2.157780LSep 30 · 13:30S. Radlo2.20111011113M. Galus1.60812861WSep 30 · 11:30M. Galus1.3891311113J. Masternak2.801111461WSep 30 · 09:30B. Molka2.1010101181M. Galus1.6512125113WSep 30 · 08:30M. Galus1.201111113J. Chojnacki3.605440LSep 30 · 07:30S. Wloszek2.401115814123M. Galus1.506131116102LSep 30 · 07:00M. Galus1.626119101S. Radlo2.0211811123
P. Gola10
WOct 1 · 10:00P. Gola1.50121111113J. Masternak2.35141781LOct 1 · 09:00P. Gola1.6078111262S. Radlo2.201111910113WOct 1 · 07:30P. Gola1.63111110113M. Burkacki2.15751271LOct 1 · 05:30P. Gola2.15119771D. Stapor1.6161111113LSep 29 · 13:30M. Lysakowski1.9111119163P. Gola1.806911141WSep 29 · 11:30D. Stapor1.58115351P. Gola2.2591111113WSep 29 · 10:30S. Wloszek2.051131181P. Gola1.6881113113WSep 29 · 09:00J. Chojnacki3.207760P. Gola1.311111113LSep 29 · 07:00M. Lysakowski1.6611116113P. Gola2.10751191WSep 29 · 05:00S. Radlo1.93811741P. Gola1.7911411113
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