TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Mateusz Galus vs Jan Masternak 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1189117111012––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:59 and never touched: 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeMateusz Galus to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
1189117111012––
H2H Mateusz Galus 30–26 Jan Masternak Jan Masternak has won 26 of their 56 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:5969.1%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 2.3pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Galus
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
30-26 in 56
Galus
Wrong
gap of 4 in 56, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Galus 1626 vs Masternak 1479
Galus
Wrong
both rated, 147 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Galus 80% vs Masternak 40%
Galus
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Galus 50% vs Masternak 30%
Galus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Galus +2 · Masternak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% · Clear lean (leans Galus) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGalus 1.40 / Masternak 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Galus)-2.3pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13226482
Galus1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 131 of 235
Up 2–0, closes it99% 70 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it78% 98 of 125
Masternak2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 104 of 253
Down 0–1, comes back24% 35 of 148
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGalus4wins
AwayMasternak6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMasternak leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGalus50%3 of 6
AwayMasternak75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Galus6Masternak4n = 10Galus took 6 of 10
S2Galus4Masternak6n = 10Masternak took 6 of 10
S3Galus4Masternak6n = 10Masternak took 6 of 10
S4Galus4Masternak3n = 7Galus took 4 of 7
S5Galus1Masternak3n = 4Masternak took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGalusMasternakG − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.738.2+1.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGalusMasternakBasisWin rate · lifetime356 / 672 vs 407 / 93153%43.7%356 / 672 vs 407 / 931Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GalusGalus 1.40/Masternak 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.1%
Galus · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Masternak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 30 · 11:30M. Galus4491311113J. Masternak321111461
LSep 24 · 12:00M. Galus30108120J. Masternak371211143
LAug 30 · 21:35M. Galus217770J. Masternak331111113
LAug 27 · 12:40M. Galus4611971272J. Masternak518111110113
WAug 27 · 08:30M. Galus3811115113J. Masternak31291191
WAug 20 · 06:30M. Galus47116118113J. Masternak3241111152
LAug 4 · 09:00M. Galus54119811152J. Masternak50211119173
LAug 2 · 18:35M. Galus4691111692J. Masternak49119711113
LJul 30 · 12:40M. Galus37128891J. Masternak43101111113
WJul 30 · 08:00M. Galus341211113J. Masternak2410590
M. Galus10
WOct 1 · 06:30M. Galus1.651111113D. Stapor2.103880WOct 1 · 05:00M. Galus1.621111113S. Radlo2.157780LSep 30 · 13:30S. Radlo2.20111011113M. Galus1.60812861WSep 30 · 11:30M. Galus1.3891311113J. Masternak2.801111461WSep 30 · 09:30B. Molka2.1010101181M. Galus1.6512125113WSep 30 · 08:30M. Galus1.201111113J. Chojnacki3.605440LSep 30 · 07:30S. Wloszek2.401115814123M. Galus1.506131116102LSep 30 · 07:00M. Galus1.626119101S. Radlo2.0211811123LSep 24 · 12:30M. Galus1.399111161B. Fraczek2.8011135113LSep 24 · 12:00J. Masternak3.081211143M. Galus1.33108120
J. Masternak10
LOct 1 · 07:00M. Burkacki1.47111159113J. Masternak2.5079111162WOct 1 · 06:00J. Masternak2.20131114123S. Radlo1.5815912101WSep 30 · 12:30J. Chojnacki1.40129116122J. Masternak2.751011811143LSep 30 · 11:30M. Galus1.3891311113J. Masternak2.801111461LSep 30 · 10:30J. Chojnacki2.751111113J. Masternak1.408990LSep 30 · 09:00S. Wloszek1.50111011113J. Masternak2.40912381WSep 30 · 06:00S. Radlo1.721118111692J. Masternak2.0113161314113LSep 30 · 05:00B. Molka1.801111113J. Masternak1.905880LSep 25 · 12:30B. Fraczek1.38111111113J. Masternak2.85891341WSep 24 · 12:00J. Masternak3.081211143M. Galus1.33108120
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